Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39739957›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2024

Non-detection of emerging and re-emerging pathogens in wastewater surveillance to confirm absence of transmission risk: A case study of polio in New York.

David A Larsen, Dustin Hill, Yifan Zhu, Mohammed Alazawi, Dana Chatila, Christopher Dunham, Catherine Faruolo, Brandon Ferro, Alejandro Godinez, Brianna Hanson and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

David A LarsenDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1876-6536
Dustin HillDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4073-6093
Yifan ZhuDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6754-3590
Mohammed AlazawiNew York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health, Albany, New York, United States of America.
Dana ChatilaDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.
Christopher DunhamSchool of Information Studies, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.
Catherine FaruoloDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.
Brandon FerroDepartment of Environmental Biology, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry (SUNY-ESF), Syracuse, New York, United States of America.
Alejandro GodinezNew York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health, Albany, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6650-6747
Brianna HansonNew York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health, Albany, New York, United States of America.
Tabassum InsafNew York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health, Albany, New York, United States of America.
Dan LangNew York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health, Albany, New York, United States of America.
Dana NeigelNew York State Department of Health, Center for Environmental Health, Albany, New York, United States of America.
Milagros NeyraDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3987-7915
Nicole PulidoDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8646-2710
Max WilderDepartment of Environmental Biology, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry (SUNY-ESF), Syracuse, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5755-8414
Nan YangDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.
Brittany KmushDepartment of Public Health, Syracuse University, Syracuse, New York, United States of America.
Hyatt GreenDepartment of Environmental Biology, State University of New York College of Environmental Science and Forestry (SUNY-ESF), Syracuse, New York, United States of America.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Infectious disease surveillance systems, including wastewater surveillance, can alert communities to the threat of emerging pathogens. We need methods to infer understanding of transmission dynamics from non-detection. We estimate a sensitivity of detection of poliovirus in wastewater to inform the sensitivity of wastewater surveillance for poliovirus using both a clinical epidemiology and fecal shedding approach. We then apply freedom from disease to estimate the sensitivity of the wastewater surveillance network. Estimated sensitivity to detect a single poliovirus infection was low, <11% at most wastewater treatment plants and <3% in most counties. However, the maximum threshold for the number of infections when polio is not detected in wastewater was much lower. Prospective wastewater surveillance can confirm the absence of a polio threat and be escalated in the case of poliovirus detection. These methods can be applied to any emerging or re-emerging pathogen, and improve understanding from wastewater surveillance.

Identifiers

PMID39739957
PMCPMC11687875

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.