Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39738977›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2024

Long-term data reveal widespread phenological change across major US estuarine food webs.

Robert J Fournier, Denise D Colombano, Robert J Latour, Stephanie M Carlson, Albert Ruhi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Does tidal marsh restoration lead to the recovery of trophic pathways that support estuarine fishes?Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  2. Phenology-informed decline risk of estuarine fishes and their prey suggests potential for future trophic mismatches.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Robert J FournierDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9494-2776
Denise D ColombanoDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7237-4859
Robert J LatourVirginia Institute of Marine Science, William & Mary, Gloucester Point, Virginia, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8644-1733
Stephanie M CarlsonDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3055-6483
Albert RuhiDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4011-6457

Funding

California Department of Fish and Wildlife 052586-002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is shifting the timing of organismal life-history events. Although consequential food-web mismatches can emerge if predators and prey shift at different rates, research on phenological shifts has traditionally focused on single trophic levels. Here, we analysed >2000 long-term, monthly time series of phytoplankton, zooplankton, and fish abundance or biomass for the San Francisco, Chesapeake, and Massachusetts bays. Phenological shifts occurred in over a quarter (28%) of the combined series across all three estuaries. However, phenological trends for many taxa (ca. 29-68%) did not track the changing environment. While planktonic taxa largely advanced their phenologies, fishes displayed broad patterns of both advanced and delayed timing of peak abundance. Overall, these divergent patterns illustrate the potential for climate-driven trophic mismatches. Our results suggest that even if signatures of global climate change differ locally, widespread phenological change has the potential to disrupt estuarine food webs.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEstuariesFishesFood ChainPhytoplanktonZooplanktonAnimalsBiomassclimate changeestuarieslong‐term datamatch–mismatch hypothesisphenology

Identifiers

PMID39738977
PMCPMC11686945

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.