Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39738862›Full record

ArticleAnnals of hematology2025

Validation of prognostic models in elderly patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in a real-world nationwide population-based study - development of a clinical nomogram.

Jelena Jelicic, Karen Juul-Jensen, Zoran Bukumiric, Mikkel Runason Simonsen, Rasmus Rask Kragh Jørgensen, Michael Roost Clausen, Ahmed Ludvigsen Al-Mashhadi, Robert Schou Pedersen, Christian Bjørn Poulsen, Anne Ortved Gang and 3 more

Abstract readValidation Study
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In one paragraph

Article in Annals of hematology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Jelena JelicicDepartment of Hematology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Karen Juul-JensenDepartment of Hematology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Zoran BukumiricInstitute for Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Mikkel Runason SimonsenDepartment of Hematology, Clinical Cancer Research Center, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.
Rasmus Rask Kragh JørgensenDepartment of Hematology, Clinical Cancer Research Center, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.
Michael Roost ClausenDepartment of Hematology, Vejle Hospital, Sygehus Lillebaelt, Vejle, Denmark.
Ahmed Ludvigsen Al-MashhadiDepartment of Hematology, Clinical Cancer Research Center, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark.
Robert Schou PedersenDepartment of Hematology, Regional Hospital Gødstrup, Gødstrup, Denmark.
Christian Bjørn PoulsenDepartment of Hematology, Zealand University Hospital, Roskilde, Denmark.
Anne Ortved GangDepartment of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Peter BrownDepartment of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Tarec Christoffer El-GalalyDepartment of Hematology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Thomas Stauffer LarsenDepartment of Hematology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark. Thomas.stauffer.larsen@rsyd.dk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The International Prognostic Index (IPI) is the most frequently used tool for prognostication in patients with newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) of all ages. This study validated and compared six models developed for patients above 60 with International Prognostic Indices (IPI, R-IPI, NCCN-IPI). Moreover, we created a clinical nomogram with an online tool for individualized predictions. A total of 2,835 patients aged over 60 with newly diagnosed DLBCL treated with potentially curative immunochemotherapy were identified in the Danish Lymphoma Registry. A nomogram was developed by combining NCCN-IPI variables (excluding extranodal localization), albumin, and platelet levels in 1,970 patients and verified the results in the remaining 956 patients. Compared to other models, the elderly IPI (E-IPI) and age-adjusted IPI (aaIPI) showed better accuracy and discriminatory ability. However, the models failed to identify a high-risk group with a 3-year overall survival rate below 40%. Our nomogram-based model demonstrated superior discriminatory ability and provided more precise individual predictions than all other models based on a risk stratification system. Most clinical prognostic models fail to accurately predict patient outcomes in patients over 60 years old. Therefore, nomogram-based models should be considered in this population to prevent information loss due to variable dichotomization.

Indexed as

Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, DiffuseNomogramsAgedAged, 80 and overDenmarkFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRegistriesSurvival RateElderlyNomogramPrognostic modelsTo index the content: diffuse large B cell lymphomaValidation

Identifiers

PMID39738862

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.