ArticleNature communications2024
Future increase in compound soil drought-heat extremes exacerbated by vegetation greening.
Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 12 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Increasing risk of vapor pressure deficit exceeding critical thresholds for tree growth.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Critical slowing down of semiarid vegetation resilience is amplified by intensifying heatwaves.Nature communications · 2026Article
- A potential overestimation of COProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Article
- Warming and vegetation greening drive recent surge in flash droughts.Science advances · 2026Article
- Vegetation responses to air dryness amplify future land surface warming.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Fuel availability versus flammability: divergent fire controls across Eurasian drylands.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Seasonal ecological quality in China: concurrent and lagged drought responses and dominant factors.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Pervasive seasonal divergence in lagged responses of vegetation growth to compound drought-heat stress on the Tibetan Plateau.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Acute Alkaline Stress Activates Glucose Metabolism for Energy Supply and Induces the Immune Response in the Oriental River Prawn, Macrobrachium nipponense.Marine biotechnology (New York, N.Y.) · 2025Article
- Improved modelling of biogenic emissions in human-disturbed forest edges and urban areas.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Mapping stability and instability hotspots in Jiangsu's vegetation: an explainable machine learning approach to climatic and anthropogenic drivers.Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Compound soil drought and heat extremes are expected to occur more frequently with global warming, causing wide-ranging socio-ecological repercussions. Vegetation modulates air temperature and soil moisture through biophysical processes, thereby influencing the occurrence of such extremes. Global vegetation cover is broadly expected to increase under climate change, but it remains unclear whether vegetation greening will alleviate or aggravate future increases in compound soil drought-heat events. Here, using a suite of state-of-the-art model simulations, we show that the projected vegetation greening will increase the frequency of global compound soil drought-heat events, equivalent to 12-21% of the total increment at the end of 21st century. This increase is predominantly driven by reduced albedo and enhanced transpiration associated with increased leaf area. Although greening-induced transpiration enhancement has counteracting cooling and drying effects, the excessive water loss in the early growing season can lead to later soil moisture deficits, amplifying compound soil drought-heat extremes during the subsequent warm season. These changes are most pronounced in northern high latitudes and are dominated by the warming effect of CO
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