Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39736138›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2025

HIV-1 Viremia and Cancer Risk in 2.8 Million People: The South African HIV Cancer Match Study.

Yann Ruffieux, Judith Mwansa-Kambafwile, Carole Metekoua, Tinashe Tombe-Nyahuma, Julia Bohlius, Mazvita Muchengeti, Matthias Egger, Eliane Rohner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Association of Immunodeficiency and HIV Viremia With Cervical Precancer and Cancer Risk Among Women With HIV in South Africa.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yann RuffieuxInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0891-2448
Judith Mwansa-KambafwileNational Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Carole MetekouaInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1331-8280
Tinashe Tombe-NyahumaNational Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Julia BohliusInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1955-1585
Mazvita MuchengetiNational Cancer Registry, National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-1955-923X
Matthias EggerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7462-5132
Eliane RohnerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0554-2875

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesNIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924NIH HHS U01AI069924Swiss National Science Foundation 320030_169967U.S. CRDF Global HIV_DAA3-16-62705-1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMost research on human immunodeficiency virus-1 (HIV-1) viremia and cancer risk is from high-income countries. We evaluated the association between HIV-1 viremia and the risk of various cancer types among people with HIV (PWH) in South Africa.

methodsWe analyzed data from the South African HIV Cancer Match study, based on laboratory measurements from the National Health Laboratory Service and cancer records from the National Cancer Registry from 2004 to 2014. Using Cox proportional hazards models, we estimated hazard ratios (HR) for cancer incidence per unit increase in time-updated Log10 HIV-1 RNA viral load copies/mL. We created partially adjusted (sex, age, calendar year) and fully adjusted models (additionally including time-updated CD4 count).

resultsWe included 2 770 200 PWH with 10 175 incident cancers; most common were cervical cancer (N = 2481), Kaposi sarcoma (N = 1902), breast cancer (N = 1063), and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (N = 863). Hazard ratios for the association of HIV-1 viremia and cancer risk changed after partial and full adjustment and were generally attenuated for infection-related cancers but tended to increase for infection-unrelated cancers. In the fully adjusted model, HIV-1 viremia was associated with an increased risk of Kaposi sarcoma (HR per unit increase in Log10 HIV-1 RNA viral load: 1.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35-1.42), leukemia (HR: 1.28; 95% CI, 1.13-1.45), non-Hodgkin lymphoma (HR: 1.24; 95% CI, 1.19-1.29), conjunctival cancer (HR: 1.19; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25), and colorectal cancer (HR: 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.21). Associations with other cancer types were weaker or absent.

conclusionsOur findings underline the importance of sustained viral suppression for cancer prevention among PWH in South Africa.

Indexed as

HIV-1HIV InfectionsNeoplasmsViremiaAdultFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsSouth AfricaViral LoadYoung AdultcancerHIV-1 viremiaincidencelinkage studySouth Africa

Identifiers

PMID39736138
PMCPMC12448642

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.