Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39735173›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes and metabolic disorders2025

Prevalence and incidence of prediabetes in Latin America. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Víctor Juan Vera-Ponce, Joan A Loayza-Castro, Fiorella E Zuzunaga-Montoya, Nataly Mayely Sanchez-Tamay, Juan Carlos Bustamante-Rodríguez, Lupita Ana Maria Valladolid-Sandoval, Luisa Erika Milagros Vásquez-Romero, Carmen Inés Gutiérrez de Carrillo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes and metabolic disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Víctor Juan Vera-PonceInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID 0000-0003-4075-9049
Joan A Loayza-CastroInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID 0000-0001-6495-6501
Fiorella E Zuzunaga-MontoyaUniversidad Continental Lima, Lima, Perú.ORCID 0000-0002-2354-273X
Nataly Mayely Sanchez-TamayInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5951-4196
Juan Carlos Bustamante-RodríguezInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0002-6515-3158
Lupita Ana Maria Valladolid-SandovalInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0000-0165-5963
Luisa Erika Milagros Vásquez-RomeroInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2981-3526
Carmen Inés Gutiérrez de CarrilloInstituto de Investigación de Enfermedades Tropicales, Universidad Nacional Toribio Rodríguez de Mendoza de Amazonas (UNTRM), Amazonas, Perú.ORCID 0000-0002-4711-7201

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Prediabetes represents a significant public health challenge in Latin America. Its prevalence varies considerably depending on the diagnostic criteria used, which hinders a precise understanding of its magnitude in the region. Objective: To estimate the prevalence and incidence of prediabetes in Latin America through a systematic review (SR). Methods: A SR and meta-analysis was conducted searching through October 25, 2024 in SCOPUS, EMBASE, Web of Science, and PubMed. Studies were included if they: (1) used probabilistic sampling methods, (2) included adult participants (≥ 18 years), (3) assessed prediabetes using WHO criteria, fasting glucose, postprandial glucose, or HbA1c, and (4) were published in English, Spanish, or Portuguese. Studies using non-probabilistic sampling, focusing on specific medical conditions, or lacking sufficient data to calculate prevalence or incidence were excluded. Random-effect models were used to estimate pooled prevalence, with heterogeneity assessed using I² statistics and publication bias through funnel plots. Results: Twenty-five studies from 9 countries published between 1992 and 2023 were analyzed. The pooled prevalence of prediabetes was 24% (95% CI: 18-30%). According to specific criteria, the prevalences were: WHO 11% (95% CI: 5-18%), FG 18% (95% CI: 10-27%), PPG 20% (95% CI: 3-46%), and HbA1c 32% (95% CI: 21-52%). High heterogeneity was observed among studies (I² = 99-100%, Conclusions: Prediabetes prevalence in Latin America is high, with significant variations by diagnostic criteria. The limited number of incidence studies and high heterogeneity highlight the need for standardized approaches in future research. Implementation of preventive strategies and strengthening of epidemiological surveillance systems are crucial for addressing this public health challenge. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40200-024-01549-6.

Indexed as

IncidenceLatin America (source: MeSH NLM)Meta-analysisPrediabetic statePrevalenceSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID39735173
PMCPMC11680525

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.