ArticleScientific reports2024
Evaluation of overwintering risk of tropical and subtropical insect pests in temperate regions.
Article in Scientific reports, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate Change Can Generate Enemy-Free Space for Crop-Feeding Herbivores.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Comparative Analysis of Rice Yield and Economic Performance Across Different Planting Patterns in Double-Cropping Rice Systems Under Global Warming.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Comparative transcriptomics reveals key regulatory networks underlying cold stress adaptation in oil palm (Frontiers in plant science · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Recent changes in climate and environments have promoted the range expansion of insect pests of tropical and subtropical origins into temperate regions. For more accurate and faster risk assessment of this expansion, we developed a novel indicator to link a physiologically derived parameter of chilling injury with the survival of insect populations in nature by using two insects, Spodoptera frugiperda and Cicadulina bipunctata with tropical and subtropical origins, and one cool-adapted insect, Laodelphax striatellus. The parameter derived from a proportional increment in the time to 99.9% mortality under constant low temperatures causing chilling injury evaluates the survival of target insect populations based on winter climate data. For S. frugiperda and C. bipunctata, but not for L. striatellus, the accuracy of the model in predicting the overwintering range was equivalent to, or better than, those of a conventional species distribution model. Additional field testing using S. frugiperda and comparison of the developed model with a conventional logistic model for C. bipunctata supported the validity of the indicator. These results suggest that the developed indicator will help for simple risk assessment of tropical and subtropical insect pests in temperate regions by the species distribution modelling approach.
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