Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39731592›Full record

SynthesisEuropean journal of clinical pharmacology2025

Quantitative evaluation of the efficacy and safety of first-line systemic therapies for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

Xinrui Wang, Jihan Huang, Yixiao Liu, Lijuan Wu, Ruifen Cai, Qingshan Zheng, Lujin Li

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European journal of clinical pharmacology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Xinrui WangCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China.
Jihan HuangCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China.
Yixiao LiuCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China.
Lijuan WuCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China.
Ruifen CaiCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China.
Qingshan ZhengCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China. qingshan.zheng@drugchina.net.
Lujin LiCenter for Pharmacometrics, Institute of Interdisciplinary Integrative Medicine Research, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No.1200 Cailun Road, Shanghai, 201203, China. lujin.li@drugchina.net.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2022YFC3502000National Natural Science Funds of China 82174229
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aimed to quantitatively evaluate the efficacy and safety of first-line systemic therapies for treating advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC).

methodsThe study included clinical trials of first-line systemic therapies for aHCC since the approval of sorafenib in 2007. Hazard function models were used to describe changes in overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) over time. Monte Carlo simulation was used to compare OS and PFS for different treatments, including sorafenib, antiangiogenic therapies (AATs) (except sorafenib), immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) monotherapy, AAT + targeted therapy, AAT + chemotherapy, AAT + ICIs, and ICIs + ICIs. Furthermore, the objective response rate (ORR) and incidence of grade ≥ 3 adverse events were analyzed.

resultsFifty studies comprising 12,918 participants were included. AAT + ICIs demonstrated a significant benefit in median OS (mOS), median PFS (mPFS), and ORR (20.5 [95% CI 17.5-24] months, 7.5 [95% CI 6.5-8.8] months, and 24% [95% CI 17%-30%], respectively). ICIs + ICIs and ICI monotherapy ranked second and third, respectively with an mOS of 20 (95% CI 18.5-21.5) months and 14.5 (95% CI 13.5-16) months, respectively. The OS, PFS, and ORR of patients treated with AAT, AAT + targeted therapy, and AAT + chemotherapy were similar to those of patients treated with sorafenib. A higher proportion of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C had a shorter OS. OS was associated with publication year, and PFS was associated with the proportion of patients with BCLC stage C. The incidence of grade ≥ 3 adverse events in the ICIs and ICIs + ICIs treatment groups was low.

conclusionsThe study results provide valuable information from which to base rational clinical drug use and serves as a reliable external control for evaluating new treatments for aHCC.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic AgentsAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCarcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsAngiogenesis InhibitorsHumansImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsMonte Carlo MethodProgression-Free SurvivalSorafenibTreatment OutcomeAngiogenesis InhibitorsAntineoplastic AgentsImmune Checkpoint InhibitorsSorafenibAdvanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC)Model-based meta-analysis (MBMA)Overall survival (OS)Progression-free survival (PFS)Systemic therapy

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.