Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39731455›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics2025

Cost-effectiveness analysis of 9-valent human papillomavirus vaccine combined with screening for cervical cancer in Japan.

Naohiro Takamoto, Shotaro Aso, Risa Ishida, Takaaki Konishi, Kiyohide Fushimi, Hideo Yasunaga

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Cost-effectiveness analysis of 9-valent human papillomavirus vaccine combined with screening for cervical cancer in Japan.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Naohiro TakamotoDepartment of Pediatric Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2061-9017
Shotaro AsoDepartment of Health Services Research, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Risa IshidaDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Takaaki KonishiDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Kiyohide FushimiDepartment of Health Policy and Informatics, Tokyo Medical and Dental University Graduate School, Tokyo, Japan.
Hideo YasunagaDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIn Japan, the current coverage rate of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is only 30%, and the rate of biennial cervical screening is 40%. The Japanese Government has attempted to increase the coverage of HPV vaccination and cervical screening. We analyzed the cost-effectiveness of the 9-valent HPV vaccine and cervical screening in Japan.

methodsA yearly cycle Markov model with 15 health states was created to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the 9-valent HPV vaccination and cervical screening in women aged 12-75 years. We considered four scenarios: 30% coverage of vaccination with 40% coverage of biennial screening (Scenario 1 representing the current Japanese situation), 70% (the highest proportion in 2013 in Japan) and 90% coverage of vaccination with 40% coverage of biennial screening (Scenarios 2 and 3, respectively), and 90% coverage of vaccination with 70% coverage of biennial screening (Scenarios 4). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated as costs per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) based on the perspective of the healthcare payer and compared with the benchmark for willingness to pay in Japan (41 700 USD per QALY). The cumulative morbidity and mortality in each scenario were analyzed using the Markov model.

resultsCompared with Scenario 1, the ICERs of Scenarios 2, 3, and 4 were 5382, 5321, and 8524 USD/QALY, respectively, which were lower than the benchmark for willingness to pay. As the coverage of HPV vaccination and cervical screening increased, the cumulative morbidity and mortality decreased.

conclusionIncreasing the coverage of the 9-valent HPV vaccination and cervical screening is cost-effective in Japan.

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerMass ScreeningPapillomavirus InfectionsPapillomavirus VaccinesUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAgedChildCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisFemaleHumansJapanMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedPapillomavirus Vaccinescost analysishuman papillomavirusscreeningvaccine

Identifiers

PMID39731455
PMCPMC12011068

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.