Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39727176›Full record

ArticleJournal of the International Neuropsychological Society : JINS2025

Comparing the predictive validity of four MCI definitions for incident dementia in demographically diverse community-dwelling individuals: Results from the Einstein Aging Study (EAS).

Katherine H Chang, Cuiling Wang, Jiyue Qin, Mindy J Katz, Desiree A Byrd, Richard B Lipton, Laura A Rabin

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society : JINS, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Katherine H ChangDepartment of Psychology, Queens College, City University of New York (CUNY), Flushing, NY, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-4835-2173
Cuiling WangDepartment of Neurology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA.
Jiyue QinDivision of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science, UC San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA.
Mindy J KatzDepartment of Neurology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA.
Desiree A ByrdDepartment of Psychology, Queens College, City University of New York (CUNY), Flushing, NY, USA.
Richard B LiptonDepartment of Neurology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA.
Laura A RabinDepartment of Psychology, Queens College, City University of New York (CUNY), Flushing, NY, USA.

Funding

Vascular Structure and Function in Cognitive AgingP01AG003949 · NIA · YESHIVA UNIVERSITY · PI Richard B. LIPTON · 1985 to 2026
$73.9M
Correction of Bias in Estimating Risk of AD and Cognitive and Mobile Decline Using Auxiliary InformationR21AG056920 · NIA · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, INC · PI WANG, CUILING · 2017 to 2018
$459k
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG003949NIA NIH HHS R21 AG056920
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveResearch examining (MCI) criteria in diverse and/or health-disparate populations is limited. There is a critical need to investigate the predictive validity for incident dementia of widely used MCI definitions in diverse populations.

methodEligible participants were non-Hispanic White or Black Bronx community residents, free of dementia at enrollment, with at least one annual follow-up visit after baseline. Participants completed annual neurological and neuropsychological evaluations to determine cognitive status. Dementia was defined based on DSM-IV criteria using case conferences. Cox proportional hazard models assessed predictive validity for incident dementia of four specific MCI definitions (Petersen, Jak/Bondi, number of impaired tests, Global Clinical Ratings) at baseline, controlling for age, sex, education, and race/ethnicity. Time-dependent sensitivity and specificity at 2-7 years for each definition, and Youden's index were calculated as accuracy measures.

resultsParticipants (N = 1073) ranged in age from 70 to 100 (mean = 78.4 ± 5.3) years at baseline. The sample was 62.5% female, and educational achievement averaged 13.9 ± 3.5 years. Most participants identified as White (70.0%), though Black participants were well-represented (30.0%). In general, MCI definitions differed in sensitivity and specificity for incident dementia. However, there were no significant differences in Youden's index for any definition, across all years of follow-up.

conclusionsThis work provides an important step toward improving the generalizability of the MCI diagnosis to underrepresented/health-disparate populations. While our findings suggest the studied MCI classifications are comparable, researchers and clinicians may choose to consider one method over another depending on the rationale for evaluation or question of interest.

Indexed as

AgingCognitive DysfunctionDementiaAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansIncidenceIndependent LivingMaleNeuropsychological TestsPredictive Value of TestsReproducibility of ResultsSensitivity and Specificityagingcross-cultural issuescross-cultural neuropsychologydiversitylongitudinalMild cognitive impairment

Identifiers

PMID39727176
PMCPMC13344093

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.