Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39726297›Full record

SynthesisTransfusion2025

Prognostic models for prediction of perioperative allogeneic red blood cell transfusion in adult cardiac surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Raf Van den Eynde, Annemarie Vrancken, Ruben Foubert, Krizia Tuand, Thomas Vandendriessche, An Schrijvers, Peter Verbrugghe, Timothy Devos, Ben Van Calster, Steffen Rex

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Transfusion, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Raf Van den EyndeDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Unit Anesthesiology and Algology, Biomedical Sciences Group, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1642-3812
Annemarie VranckenDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Unit Anesthesiology and Algology, Biomedical Sciences Group, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.
Ruben FoubertDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Unit Anesthesiology and Algology, Biomedical Sciences Group, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2894-4412
Krizia TuandKU Leuven Libraries - 2Bergen - Learning Centre Désiré Collen, Leuven, Belgium.
Thomas VandendriesscheKU Leuven Libraries - 2Bergen - Learning Centre Désiré Collen, Leuven, Belgium.
An SchrijversDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Unit Anesthesiology and Algology, Biomedical Sciences Group, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.
Peter VerbruggheDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Unit Cardiac surgery, Biomedical Sciences Group, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.
Timothy DevosDepartment of Hematology, University Hospitals Leuven, and Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Laboratory of Molecular Immunology (Rega Institute), University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.
Ben Van CalsterDepartment of Development and Regeneration, Unit Woman and Child, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.
Steffen RexDepartment of Cardiovascular Sciences, Unit Anesthesiology and Algology, Biomedical Sciences Group, University of Leuven (KU Leuven), Leuven, Belgium.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIdentifying cardiac surgical patients at risk of requiring red blood cell (RBC) transfusion is crucial for optimizing their outcome. We critically appraised prognostic models preoperatively predicting perioperative exposure to RBC transfusion in adult cardiac surgery and summarized model performance.

methodsDesign: Systematic review and meta-analysis. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies developing and/or externally validating models preoperatively predicting perioperative RBC transfusion in adult cardiac surgery. Information sources MEDLINE, CENTRAL & CDSR, Embase, Transfusion Evidence Library, Web of Science, Scopus, ClinicalTrials.gov, and WHO ICTRP. Risk of bias and applicability: Quality of reporting was assessed with the Transparent Reporting of studies on prediction models for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis adherence form, and risk of bias and applicability with the Prediction model Risk of Bias ASsessment Tool. SYNTHESIS

methodsRandom-effects meta-analyses of concordance-statistics and total observed:expected ratios for models externally validated ≥5 times.

resultsNine model development, and 27 external validation studies were included. The average TRIPOD adherence score was 66.4% (range 44.1%-85.2%). All studies but 1 were rated high risk of bias. For TRUST and TRACK, the only models externally validated ≥5 times, summary c-statistics were 0.74 (95% CI: 0.65-0.84; 6 contributing studies) and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68-0.75; 5 contributing studies) respectively, and summary total observed:expected ratios were 0.86 (95% CI: 0.71-1.05; 5 contributing studies) and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.74-1.19; 5 contributing studies), respectively. Considerable heterogeneity was observed in all meta-analyses. DISCUSSION: Future high quality external validation and model updating studies which strictly adhere to reporting guidelines, are warranted.

Indexed as

Cardiac Surgical ProceduresErythrocyte TransfusionPerioperative CareAdultHumansPrognosisanesthesiacardiac surgical proceduresprognosisrisk assessmenttransfusion

Identifiers

PMID39726297
PMCPMC11826302

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.