Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39725547›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2025

Trends in Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer in Singapore: Epidemiological Study of a Multiethnic Population.

Hui Lionel Raphael Chen, Qingqing Dawn Chong, Brenda Tay, Siqin Zhou, Evelyn Yi Ting Wong, Isaac Seow-En, Ker Kan Tan, Yi Wang, Adeline Seow, Kwong-Wei Emile Tan and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Hui Lionel Raphael ChenDepartment of Colorectal Surgery, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-6541-7099
Qingqing Dawn ChongDuke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-8293-4493
Brenda TayDivision of Medical Oncology, National Cancer Centre, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0009-0005-0926-5181
Siqin ZhouDivision of Clinical Trials and Epidemiological Sciences, National Cancer Centre, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-1895-4916
Evelyn Yi Ting WongDuke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-2569-1261
Isaac Seow-EnDepartment of Colorectal Surgery, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-8287-6812
Ker Kan TanDivision of Colorectal Surgery, Department of Surgery, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-0410-0450
Yi WangSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0003-1934-9926
Adeline SeowSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-5434-7673
Kwong-Wei Emile TanDepartment of Colorectal Surgery, Singapore General Hospital, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-0771-5063
Bee Huat Iain TanDuke-NUS Medical School, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0003-4951-0354
Sze Huey TanDivision of Clinical Trials and Epidemiological Sciences, National Cancer Centre, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-3089-7379

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality in those aged 50 years and above have decreased over the past 2 decades. However, there is a rising incidence of CRC among individuals under 50 years of age, termed early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC). Patients with EOCRC are diagnosed at an advanced stage and may be in more psychosocial, emotional, and financial distress.

objectiveOur study examined the epidemiological shifts in CRC in Singapore, a multiethnic country.

methodsCRCs diagnosed at age 20 years and above were identified from the Singapore Cancer Registry (SCR) from 1968 to 2019. Patient characteristics included gender, ethnicity, and age of CRC diagnosis. Population information was obtained from the Department of Statistics Singapore (SingStat). Age-specific incidence rates (ASRs) and age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) were calculated. The cohort was divided into 3 age groups: 20-49, 50-64, and ≥65 years. Temporal trends in incidence rates were modeled with joinpoint regression. Birth cohort models were fitted using the National Cancer Institute (NCI) age-period-cohort analysis tool. Cancer-specific survival analysis was performed with the Cox proportional hazards model.

resultsIn total, 53,044 CRCs were included, and 6183 (11.7%) adults aged 20-49 years were diagnosed with EOCRC. The ASR of EOCRC rose from 5 per 100,000 population in 1968 to 9 per 100,000 population in 1996 at 2.1% annually and rose to 10 per 100,000 population in 2019 at 0.64% annually. The ASR for CRC among adults aged 50-64 years rose at 3% annually from 1968 to 1987 and plateaued from 1987, while the ASR for adults aged 65 years and above rose at 4.1% annually from 1968 to 1989 and 1.3% annually from 1989 to 2003 but decreased from 2003 onwards at 1% annually. The ASR of early-onset rectal cancer increased significantly at 1.5% annually. There was a continued rise in the ASR of EOCRC among males (annual percentage change [APC] 1.5%) compared to females (APC 0.41%). Compared to the 1950-1954 reference birth cohort, the 1970-1984 birth cohort had a significantly higher incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 1.17-1.36 for rectal cancer, while there was no significant change for colon cancer in later cohorts. There were differences in CRC trends across the 3 ethnic groups: Malays had a rapid and persistent rise in the ASR of CRC across all age groups (APC 1.4%-3%), while among young Chinese, only the ASR of rectal cancer was increasing (APC 1.5%). Patients with EOCRC had better survival compared to patients diagnosed at 65 years and above (hazard ratio [HR] 0.73, 95% CI 0.67-0.79, P<.001) after adjusting for covariates.

conclusionsThe rise in the incidence of rectal cancer among young adults, especially among Chinese and Malays, in Singapore highlights the need for further research to diagnose CRC earlier and reduce cancer-related morbidity and mortality.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsEthnicityAdultAgedAge of OnsetFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesSingaporeYoung Adultage-period-cohortearly-onset colorectal cancerepidemiologyhealth disparityjoinpoint regressionpublic healthSingapore

Identifiers

PMID39725547
PMCPMC11888020

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.