Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39724249›Full record

SynthesisClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2025

Virologic Failure and Emergent Integrase Strand Transfer Inhibitor Drug Resistance With Long-Acting Cabotegravir for HIV Treatment: A Meta-analysis.

Andrea Perez Navarro, Cameron T Nutt, Mark J Siedner, Suzanne M McCluskey, Andrew Hill

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07620652 (Retrospective/Prospective Pilot Study to Evaluate Efficacy and Safety of Switching to BIC/FTC/TAF in PWH With a Previous Virological Failure Under CAB/RPV LAI), which is not on this map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07620652 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Retrospective/Prospective Pilot Study to Evaluate Efficacy and Safety of Switching to BIC/FTC/TAF in PWH With a Previous Virological Failure Under CAB/RPV LAI

TypeobservationalSponsorCristina MussiniRan2026 to 2027Enrolled30ConditionsHIV Infection
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
  6. Observational
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  11. Clinical Consequences of Delaying Implementation of Long-Acting Antiretroviral Therapy for People With HIV and Persistent Viremia in the United States.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Andrea Perez NavarroFaculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-9816-4032
Cameron T NuttDivision of Infectious Diseases, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Mark J SiednerDivision of Infectious Diseases, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3506-842X
Suzanne M McCluskeyDivision of Infectious Diseases, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8463-5430
Andrew HillDepartment of Pharmacology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6494-7645

Funding

Multidisciplinary HIV Training ProgramT32AI007387 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Daniel R. Kuritzkes · 1990 to 2026
$8.8M
Virologic and pharmacologic determinants of dolutegravir failure in East AfricaK23AI143470 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MCCLUSKEY, SUZANNE · 2019 to 2023
$1.0M
Mentoring patient-oriented research to improve cardiovascular health among people with HIV in sub-Saharan AfricaK24HL166024 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MARK J SIEDNER · 2022 to 2026
$616k
NHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL166024NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI143470NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007387NIH HHS K23 AI143470NIH HHS K24 HL166024NIH HHS T32 AI007387World Health Organization 2024_MV_001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe long-acting injectable regimen of cabotegravir plus rilpivirine (CAB/RPV) emerged as an alternative to oral standard-of-care integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-based regimens for individuals with adherence challenges or preference for reduced dosing schedules. Although oral INSTI regimens have a high barrier to emergent resistance, less is known about the potency and durability of CAB/RPV.

methodsWe reviewed clinical trial registries, PubMed, EMBASE, and conference abstract databases to identify reports of CAB/RPV for HIV therapy. We abstracted data on virologic failure (VF) and treatment-emergent INSTI resistance at 48 weeks (range: 24-52). We used single-proportion meta-analysis to summarize outcomes in 3 populations: antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive individuals initiating CAB/RPV following suppression on oral ART, ART-experienced individuals switched to CAB/RPV with virologic suppression, and ART-experienced individuals switched to CAB/RPV with detectable viremia. Cochrane's RoB 2.0 and ROBINS-1 tools assessed risk of bias.

resultsThirty-three studies (N = 9224) reported VF prevalence. Nineteen studies (N = 5662) reported resistance data. VF prevalence was 1% (95% CI: 1%-3%) in induction-maintenance studies, 1% (1%-2%) in switch-suppressed studies, and 5% (3%-10%) in switch-viremic studies. INSTI resistance prevalence among successfully genotyped participants at failure was 71% (25%-95%), 61% (44%-75%), and 41% (20%-65%) respectively. Dolutegravir cross-resistance was common (64% of those with emergent resistance).

conclusionsAlthough VF rates with CAB/RPV were low, INSTI resistance emerged in approximately 40%-70% of individuals experiencing VF. These rates are significantly higher than those for oral INSTI-based regimens. Both individual-level and broader resistance surveillance may be warranted in populations with expanding CAB/RPV use. Clinical Trials Registration. PROSPERO registration CRD42024543919.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsDrug Resistance, ViralHIV InfectionsHIV Integrase InhibitorsPyridonesDiketopiperazinesHIV-1HumansRilpivirineTreatment FailureViral LoadAnti-HIV AgentscabotegravirDiketopiperazinesHIV Integrase InhibitorsPyridonesRilpivirineantiretroviral therapycabotegravirdrug resistanceHIVintegrase strand trasfer inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID39724249
PMCPMC12448610

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.