ArticleInfectious diseases of poverty2024
Rapid human movement and dengue transmission in Bangladesh: a spatial and temporal analysis based on different policy measures of COVID-19 pandemic and Eid festival.
Article in Infectious diseases of poverty, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Dengue Surge in Bangladesh: Exploring the Role of Climate Factors-A Narrative Review With Ecological Analysis.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Epidemiological Trends, Public Health Challenges, and Strategic Control Priorities of Dengue in Bangladesh (2000-2024): A Narrative Review.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Impact of climate-induced human migration on dengue exposure risk in Africa.Research square · 2026Article
- Dengue forecasting and outbreak detection in Brazil using LSTM: integrating human mobility and climate factors.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Refining the suitable conditions index to predict dengue fever transmission in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Article
- Spatiotemporal clusters and dengue hotspots in the Philippines: a nationwide analysis spanning 2017-2024.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- One Health: enabler of effective prevention, control and elimination of emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2025Review
- A State-of-the-Science Review of Long-Term Predictions of Climate Change Impacts on Dengue Transmission Risk.Environmental health perspectives · 2025Review
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Abstract
backgroundRapid human movement plays a crucial role in the spatial dissemination of the dengue virus. Nevertheless, robust quantification of this relationship using both spatial and temporal models remains necessary. This study aims to explore the spatial and temporal patterns of dengue transmission under various human movement contexts.
methodsWe obtained district-wise aggregated dengue incidence data from the Management Information System, Directorate General of Health Services of Bangladesh. The stringency index (SI), along with eight individual policy measures (from the Oxford Coronavirus Government Response Tracker database) and six mobility indices (as measured by Google's Community Mobility Reports) were obtained as human movement indicators. A multi-step correlative modelling approach, including various spatial and temporal models, was utilized to explore the associations of dengue incidence with the SI, fourteen human movement indices and the Eid festival.
resultsThe global Moran's I indicated significant spatial autocorrelation in dengue incidence during the pre-pandemic (Moran's I: 0.14, P < 0.05) and post-pandemic periods (Moran's I: 0.42, P < 0.01), while the pandemic period (2020-2022) showed weaker, non-significant spatial clustering (Moran's I: 0.07, P > 0.05). Following the pandemic, we identified the emergence of new dengue hotspots. We found a strong negative relationship between monthly dengue incidence and the SI (r
conclusionsOverall, rapid human movement was found to be associated with increased dengue transmission in Bangladesh. Consequently, the implemention of effective mosquito control interventions prior to large festival periods is necessary for preventing the spread of the disease nationwide. We emphasize the necessity for developing advanced surveillance and monitoring networks to track real-time human movement patterns and dengue incidence.
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