Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39721668›Full record

ArticleNeurologia medico-chirurgica2025

Development of Machine-learning Model to Predict Anticoagulant Use and Type in Geriatric Traumatic Brain Injury Using Coagulation Parameters.

Gaku Fujiwara, Yohei Okada, Eiichi Suehiro, Hiroshi Yatsushige, Shin Hirota, Shu Hasegawa, Hiroshi Karibe, Akihiro Miyata, Kenya Kawakita, Kohei Haji and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurologia medico-chirurgica, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Gaku FujiwaraDepartment of Neurosurgery, Saiseikai Shiga Hospital, Imperial Gift Foundation Inc.
Yohei OkadaDepartment of Preventive Services, School of Public Health, Kyoto University.
Eiichi SuehiroDepartment of Neurosurgery, International University of Health and Welfare School of Medicine.
Hiroshi YatsushigeDepartment of Neurosurgery, National Hospital Organization Disaster Medical Center.
Shin HirotaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Tsuchiura Kyodo General Hospital.
Shu HasegawaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Kumamoto Red Cross Hospital.
Hiroshi KaribeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Sendai City Hospital.
Akihiro MiyataDepartment of Neurosurgery, Chiba Emergency Medical Center.
Kenya KawakitaEmergency Medical Center, Kagawa University Hospital.
Kohei HajiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Yamaguchi University School of Medicine.
Hideo AiharaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Hyogo Prefectural Kakogawa Medical Center.
Shoji YokoboriDepartment of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine, Graduate School of Medicine, Nippon Medical School.
Motoki InajiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Institute of Science Tokyo.
Takeshi MaedaDepartment of Neurological Surgery, Nihon University School of Medicine.
Takahiro OnukiDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Teikyo University School of Medicine.
Kotaro OshioDepartment of Neurosurgery, St. Marianna University School of Medicine.
Nobukazu KomoribayashiIwate Prefectural Advanced Critical Care and Emergency Center, Iwate Medical University.
Michiyasu SuzukiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Yamaguchi University School of Medicine.
Naoto ShiomiDepartment of Critical and Intensive Care Medicine, Shiga University of Medical Science.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate the patterns of anticoagulation therapy and coagulation parameters and to develop a prediction model to predict the type of anticoagulation therapy in geriatric patients with traumatic brain injury. A retrospective analysis was performed using the nationwide neurotrauma database of Japan. Elderly patients (≥65 years) with traumatic brain injury. Patients were divided into 3 groups based on their daily anticoagulant medication (none, direct oral anticoagulant [DOAC], and vitamin K antagonist [VKA]), and coagulation parameters were compared in each group. We then developed a machine-learning model to predict the anticoagulant using coagulation parameters and visualized the pattern using a heat map. A total of 495 patients were enrolled and divided into 3 groups: none (n = 439), DOACs (n = 37), and VKA (n = 19). Comparing none to DOAC and DOAC to VKA for prothrombin time-international normalized ratio (PT-INR), the mean difference and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were 0.38 (95% CI: 0.59-0.17) and 1.56 (95% CI: 1.21-1.90), and for activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), the mean difference between none to DOAC and DOAC to VKA was 3.46 (95% CI: 0.98-5.94) and 95% CI was 7.39 (95% CI: 3.29-11.48). A prediction model for the type of anticoagulant used by PT-INR and APTT was developed using machine-learning methods, and a heat map visually revealed their relationship with acceptable predictive ability. This study revealed the characteristic patterns of coagulation parameters in anticoagulants and a pilot model to predict anticoagulant use.

Indexed as

AnticoagulantsBrain Injuries, TraumaticMachine LearningAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansInternational Normalized RatioJapanMalePartial Thromboplastin TimeRetrospective StudiesVitamin KAnticoagulantsVitamin Kanticoagulant therapydirect oral anticoagulantsmachine learningtraumatic brain injuryvitamin K antagonist

Identifiers

PMID39721668
PMCPMC11891141

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.