Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39719471›Full record

ArticleEuropean archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery2025

Trends in the incidence and burden of otitis media in children: a global analysis from 1990 to 2021.

Lingkang Dong, Yuchen Jin, Wenqi Dong, Yumeng Jiang, Zhuangzhuang Li, Kaiming Su, Dongzhen Yu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Global burden and prevalence of otitis media-induced hearing loss in children: 32-year study.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lingkang DongDepartment of Otolaryngology Head & Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yuchen JinDepartment of Otolaryngology Head & Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Wenqi DongDepartment of Otolaryngology Head & Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Yumeng JiangDepartment of Otolaryngology Head & Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Zhuangzhuang LiDepartment of Otolaryngology, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. drzhuangzhuang@163.com.
Kaiming SuDepartment of Otolaryngology Head & Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. 021china@sina.com.
Dongzhen YuDepartment of Otolaryngology Head & Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. 7250012023@shsmu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9424-4855

Funding

The National Key Research and Development of China Nos. 2023YFC2508000 & 2023YFC2508003
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOtitis media (OM) is a prevalent and serious condition in childhood, but comprehensive global studies assessing its burden are lacking.

methodsUsing data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we analyzed OM incidence cases and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in children aged 0-14 from 1990 to 2021. Trends were analyzed across regions, age groups, sexes, and socio-demographic index (SDI) using estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). Predictive models were used to forecast trends to 2050.

resultsThe global number of OM incidence cases in children increased from 256 million in 1990 to 297 million in 2021, a 15.97% rise. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) showed a slight increase (EAPC: 0.12). Despite some variations across age, sex, and regions, the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) declined. ASIR and ASDR were highest in children aged < 1 year and gradually decreased with age. The largest burden was observed in low- and middle-low-SDI regions, although these regions showed the greatest declines in EAPC. Correlation analysis indicated that ASDR decreases as the SDI increases. By 2050, the number of global OM incidence cases in children is projected to reach 334 million, with most of the increase concentrated in low-SDI regions, while ASIR is expected to remain stable.

conclusionAlthough progress has been made in controlling OM in children over the past 30 years, the ASIR remains high. The sustained high burden and incidence of OM in low-SDI regions, and among young children, pose a significant challenge to children's health.

Indexed as

Otitis MediaAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleChildren's healthEpidemiologyGBD 2021IncidenceOMOtitis media

Identifiers

PMID39719471
PMCPMC12122604

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.