Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39716306›Full record

ArticleOrphanet journal of rare diseases2024

Application of four pricing models for orphan medicines: a case study for lumasiran.

Noa Rosenberg, Evert Manders, Sibren van den Berg, Lisa J Deesker, Sander F Garrelfs, Saco J de Visser, Jaap W Groothoff, Carla E M Hollak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Orphanet journal of rare diseases, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Repurposing biosimilars, rethinking costs: a framework for sustainable drug pricing for repurposed bevacizumab for intravitreal injections.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Noa RosenbergMedicine for Society, Platform at Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Evert MandersMedicine for Society, Platform at Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Sibren van den BergMedicine for Society, Platform at Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Lisa J DeeskerDepartment of Pediatric Nephrology, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Sander F GarrelfsDepartment of Pediatric Nephrology, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Saco J de VisserMedicine for Society, Platform at Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Jaap W GroothoffDepartment of Pediatric Nephrology, Emma Children's Hospital, Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Carla E M HollakMedicine for Society, Platform at Amsterdam University Medical Center - University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. c.e.hollak@amsterdamumc.nl.ORCID 0000-0003-0464-1078

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe combination of high prices and uncertain effectiveness is a growing challenge in the field of orphan medicines, hampering health technology assessments. Hence, new methods for establishing price benchmarks might be necessary to support reimbursement negotiations. In this study, we applied several pricing models containing cost-based elements to the case of lumasiran for treating primary hyperoxaluria type 1.

methodsPrice ranges were calculated by estimating minimum and maximum scenarios for four pricing models: Novel Cancer Pricing Model (NCP-model), AIM Model for Innovative Medicines (AIM-model), Discounted Cash Flow model (DCF-model), and the Real-Option Rate Of Return model (ROROR-model). Data was gathered from disease registries, scientific literature, Security and Exchange Committee filings, and expert opinion. A sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the parameters with the largest influence.

resultsOutcomes resulting from the NCP-model ranged between €87,000 and €224,000 per patient per year, between €33,000 and €340,000 for the AIM-model, between €182,000 and €748,000 for the DCF-model, and between €81,000 and €273,000 for the ROROR-model.

conclusionOutcomes of the four pricing models show wide and heterogeneous price ranges. The DCF-model might be most compatible with the case of lumasiran, due to inclusion of parameters for prevalence, incidence, prescription restrictions and cost of capital. The minimum DCF price could serve as a starting point for pricing and reimbursement negotiations. Uncertainties can be solved by more transparency on input variables.

Indexed as

Orphan Drug ProductionCost-Benefit AnalysisCosts and Cost AnalysisDrug CostsHumansModels, EconomicRare DiseasesLumasiranOrphan medicinal productsPricing modelsPrimary hyperoxaluria type 1

Identifiers

PMID39716306
PMCPMC11667848

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.