Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39713244›Full record

ArticleBrain communications2024

Patterns and predictors of multiple sclerosis phenotype transition.

Luigi Pontieri, Nupur Greene, Malthe Faurschou Wandall-Holm, Svend Sparre Geertsen, Nasrin Asgari, Henrik Boye Jensen, Zsolt Illes, Jakob Schäfer, Rikke Marie Jensen, Tobias Sejbæk and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Brain communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Patterns and predictors of transition between multiple sclerosis phenotypes: A longitudinal analysis.Multiple sclerosis journal - experimental, translational and clinical
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Luigi PontieriThe Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet Glostrup, 2600 Glostrup, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1506-3827
Nupur GreeneSanofi, Cambridge, MA 02141, USA.
Malthe Faurschou Wandall-HolmThe Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet Glostrup, 2600 Glostrup, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7455-4829
Svend Sparre GeertsenSanofi, Cambridge, MA 02141, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4497-3616
Nasrin AsgariDepartment of Neurology, Naestved, Slagelse and Ringsted Hospitals, 4200 Slagelse, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8551-0947
Henrik Boye JensenDepartment of Regional Health Research, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6461-3787
Zsolt IllesDepartment of Neurology, Odense University Hospital, 5000 Odense, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9655-0450
Jakob SchäferDepartment of Neurology, Aalborg University Hospital, 9100 Aalborg, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2562-1818
Rikke Marie JensenDanish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet Glostrup, 2600 Glostrup, Denmark.
Tobias SejbækDepartment of Regional Health Research, University of Southern Denmark, 5000 Odense, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7682-2188
Arkadiusz WeglewskiDepartment of Neurology, Herlev and Gentofte Hospital, 2730 Herlev, Denmark.
Mie Reith MahlerThe Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet Glostrup, 2600 Glostrup, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0484-8220
Mai Bang PoulsenDepartment of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-North Zealand, 3400 Hillerød, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5525-0678
Sivagini PrakashDepartment of Neurology, Viborg Regional Hospital, 8800 Viborg, Denmark.
Morten StilundDepartment of Neurology, Physiotherapy and Occupational Therapy, Gødstrup Hospital, 7400 Herning, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2255-3380
Matthias KantDepartment of Neurology, Southern Jutland Hospital, University of Southern Denmark, 6200 Aabenraa, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5090-8234
Peter Vestergaard RasmussenDepartment of Neurology, Aarhus University Hospital, 8200 Aarhus N, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6417-7743
Kristina Bacher SvendsenDepartment of Neurology, Aarhus University Hospital, 8200 Aarhus N, Denmark.
Finn SellebjergDanish Multiple Sclerosis Center, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet Glostrup, 2600 Glostrup, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1333-9623
Melinda MagyariThe Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital-Rigshospitalet Glostrup, 2600 Glostrup, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0972-5222

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Currently, there are limited therapeutic options for patients with non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Therefore, real-world studies have investigated differences between patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Here, we explore patterns and predictors of transitioning between these phenotypes. We performed a cohort study using data from The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry. We included patients with a relapsing-remitting phenotype, registered changes to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and subsequent transitions between relapsing and non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, which was defined by the presence of relapses in the previous 2 years. We analysed predictors of transitioning from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis to relapsing and non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, as well as between the secondary progressive states using a multi-state Markov model. We included 4413 patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Within a median follow-up of 16.2 years, 962 were diagnosed with secondary progressive multiple sclerosis by their treating physician. Of these, we classified 729 as non-relapsing and 233 as relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. The risk of transitioning from relapsing-remitting to non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis included older age (hazard ratio per increase of 1 year in age: 1.044, 95% confidence interval: 1.035-1.053), male sex (hazard ratio for female: 0.735, 95% confidence interval: 0.619-0.874), fewer relapses (hazard ratio per each additional relapse: 0.863, 95% confidence interval: 0.823-0.906), higher expanded disability status scale (hazard ratio per each additional point: 1.522, 95% confidence interval: 1.458-1.590) and longer time on disease-modifying therapies (hazard ratio per increase of 1 year in treatment, high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy: 1.095, 95% confidence interval: 1.051-1.141; hazard ratio, moderate-efficacy disease-modifying therapy: 1.073, 95% confidence interval: 1.051-1.095). We did not find significant predictors associated with the transition from relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis to non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, whereas older age (hazard ratio per increase of 1 year in age: 0.956, 95% confidence interval: 0.942-0.971) prevented the transition from non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis to relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Our study suggests that transitioning from relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis to non-relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis depends on well-known factors affecting diagnosing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. Further transitions between non-relapsing and relapsing secondary progressive multiple sclerosis are only affected by age. These findings add to the knowledge of non-active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, a patient group with unmet needs in terms of therapies.

Indexed as

multiple sclerosisreal-world dataregistry studysecondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Identifiers

PMID39713244
PMCPMC11660925

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.