Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39710662›Full record

SynthesisBMC cancer2024

Benefits, harms, and cost-effectiveness of risk model-based and risk factor-based low-dose computed tomography screening strategies for lung cancer: a systematic review.

Yin Liu, Qingchao Geng, Xin Lin, Chenxi Feng, Youlin Qiao, Shaokai Zhang

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC cancer, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yin Liu *Department of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 45008, China.
Qingchao Geng *Department of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 45008, China.
Xin LinDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 45008, China.
Chenxi FengDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 45008, China.
Youlin QiaoDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 45008, China. qiaoy@cicams.ac.cn.
Shaokai ZhangDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University & Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, 45008, China. shaokaizhang@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt has been proposed that risk model-based strategies could serve as viable alternatives to traditional risk factor-based approaches in lung cancer screening; however, there has been no systematic discussion. In this review, we provide an overview of the benefits, harms, and cost-effectiveness of these two strategies in lung cancer screening application, as well as discussing possible future research directions.

methodsFollowing the PRISMA guidelines, a comprehensive literature search was conducted across PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane libraries, and EMBASE from January 1994 to April 2024. Studies comparing risk model-based and risk factor-based low-dose computed tomography(LDCT) screening strategies for lung cancer were included, with data extracted on study characteristics, screening criteria, and outcomes such as sensitivity, specificity, lung cancer deaths averted, false positive, biopsies, overdiagnosis, radiation-related cancer, and cost-effectiveness measures, et al.

resultsA total of 16 fulfilled articles were included, comprising 6 model simulation studies, 9 retrospective cohort studies, and 1 interim analysis of a prospective cohort study. Risk model-based strategies generally demonstrated higher sensitivity, comparable specificity and lower radiation-related harms compared to risk factor-based strategies. However, there were variations in life years gained, quality-adjusted life years gained, lung cancer deaths averted and overdiagnosis cases, highlighting the need for optimal risk threshold determination. Risk model-based strategies showed a potential for greater cost-effectiveness, particularly when tailored to individual risk profiles. Furthermore, subgroup analyses revealed a higher net benefit in women, emphasizing the importance of sex-specific eligibility criteria.

conclusionRisk model-based LDCT screening strategies present a more sensitive and potentially more efficient approach for lung cancer detection. Future research should explore optimal risk thresholds for broader applicability, with attention to sex-specific criteria and individual risk factor dynamics.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsTomography, X-Ray ComputedFemaleHumansMaleRadiation DosageRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsLDCT screeningLung cancerRisk factorRisk modelSystematic review

Identifiers

PMID39710662
PMCPMC11665239

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.