Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39707877›Full record

ArticleEpilepsia2025

Factors associated with placebo response rate in randomized controlled trials of antiseizure medications for focal epilepsy.

Wesley T Kerr, Maria Suprun, Neo Kok, Advith S Reddy, Katherine N McFarlane, Patrick Kwan, Ernest Somerville, Emilia Bagiella, Jacqueline A French

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epilepsia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
  4. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Wesley T KerrDepartment of Neurology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5546-5951
Maria SuprunDepartment of Pediatrics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Neo KokDepartment of Neurology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Advith S ReddyDepartment of Neurology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Katherine N McFarlaneDepartment of Neurology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Patrick KwanThe Alfred Hospital, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7310-276X
Ernest SomervillePrince of Wales Hospital, University of new South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8789-1122
Emilia BagiellaDepartment of Pediatrics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Jacqueline A FrenchComprehensive Epilepsy Center, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2242-8027

Funding

NeuroNEXT Clinical Research Site at the University of MichiganU24NS107158 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI CHOU, KELVIN L · 2018 to 2022
$1.6M
UM Clinical Neuroscientist Training ProgramR25NS089450 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ALBIN, ROGER L · 2014 to 2023
$1.3M
Feasibility of machine learning to improve the diagnostic odyssey for functional seizuresK23NS135134 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Wesley Thomas Kim Kerr · 2025 to 2026
$448k
Factors determining placebo response in drug-resistant focal epilepsyR03NS079875 · NINDS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI BAGIELLA, EMILIA · 2013 to 2014
$169k
American Academy of Neurology Susan S Spencer Clinical Research Training FellowsAmerican Epilepsy Society Epilepsy Study Consortium Mini-GrantMedical Center, University of Pittsburgh UPMC Competitive Medical Research FundNINDS NIH HHS K23 NS135134NINDS NIH HHS R03 NS079875NINDS NIH HHS R03NS079875NINDS NIH HHS R25 NS089450NINDS NIH HHS R25NS089450NINDS NIH HHS U24 NS107158NINDS NIH HHS U24NS107158
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveRandomized controlled trials (RCTs) are necessary to evaluate the efficacy of novel treatments for epilepsy. However, there have been concerning increases in the placebo responder rate over time. To understand these trends, we evaluated features associated with increased placebo responder rate.

methodsUsing individual-level data from 20 focal-onset seizure trials provided by seven pharmaceutical companies, we evaluated associations with change in seizure frequency in participants randomized to placebo. We used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate participant and study factors associated with differing rates of 50% reduction in seizure frequency during blinded placebo treatment, as compared to pre-randomization baseline seizure frequency. In addition, we focused on the association of placebo responder rate with pre-randomization baseline seizure frequency and country of recruitment.

resultsIn the pooled analysis of 1674 participants randomized to placebo, a higher 50% responder rate (50RR) was associated with a shorter duration of epilepsy (p = .006), lower baseline seizure rate (p = .002), fewer concomitant antiseizure medications (p = .004), absence of adverse events (p < .001), more trial arms (p = .006), and geographic region (p < .001). Mixture modeling indicated a significantly higher 50RR in Bulgaria, Croatia, India, and Canada (42% in the higher group vs 22% in the lower group comprising all 40 other countries, p < 10 SIGNIFICANCE: These results can assist future RCTs in estimating the expected placebo responder rate, which may lead to more reliable power estimates. Higher placebo responder rate was associated with markers of less-refractory epilepsy. There were concerning significant differences in placebo responder rate by country and geographic region as well as an elevated placebo responder rate in participants with baseline seizure frequency close to the minimum eligibility criteria.

Indexed as

AnticonvulsantsEpilepsies, PartialPlacebo EffectRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedTreatment OutcomeYoung AdultAnticonvulsantsclinical trialsepilepsynocebovariability

Identifiers

PMID39707877
PMCPMC11827720

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.