Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39705224›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2024

Predictive factors for the diagnosis of coeliac disease in children and young people in primary care: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Christian E Farrier, Marta Wanat, Anthony Harnden, Amy Paterson, Nia Roberts, Defne Saatci, Jennifer Hirst

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Christian E FarrierNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9683-818X
Marta WanatNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Anthony HarndenNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Amy PatersonNuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Nia RobertsBodleian Healthcare Libraries, Knowledge Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1142-6440
Defne SaatciNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Jennifer HirstNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8416-2159

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCoeliac Disease (CD) often has its onset in childhood and affects 1% of the population. This review aimed to identify important predictive factors for coeliac disease in children and young people which could help GPs decide when to offer testing.

methodsWe searched MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane Library to April 2024. Included studies were observational or randomized trials reporting the risk of CD when exposed to predictive factor(s) in people ≤25 years of age. Genetic factors were excluded. Risk of Bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Random effects meta-analysis was performed for factors reported in ≥5 studies to calculate pooled odds ratios (OR) or standardized mean differences (SMD).

resultsOf 11,623 unique abstracts, 183 were included reporting on 140+ potentially associated factors. Meta-analyses of 28 factors found 14 significant associations with CD diagnosis: having type 1 diabetes (OR 8.70), having a first degree relative with coeliac disease (OR 5.19), being of white ethnicity (OR 2.56), having thyroid disease (OR 2.16), being female (OR 1.53), more frequent gastroenteritis in early childhood (OR 1.48), having frequent respiratory infections in early childhood (OR 1.47), more gluten ingestion in early life (OR 1.25), having more infections in early life (OR 1.22), antibiotic use in early childhood (OR 1.21), being born in the summer (OR 1.09), breastfeeding (OR 0.79) older age at diagnosis of type 1 diabetes (OR 0.64), and heavier weight (SMD -0.21). The final three were associated with lower risk of CD diagnosis. DISCUSSION: This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive factors for CD in children. Amongst the 14 factors we identified that were significant, three were potentially modifiable: breast feeding, antibiotic use and amount of gluten ingestion in early childhood. This work could inform the development of clinical support tools to facilitate the early diagnosis of CD.

Indexed as

Celiac DiseasePrimary Health CareAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39705224
PMCPMC11661599

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.