Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39702656›Full record

ArticleHepatology international2025

Global, regional, and national temporal trends in incidence and mortality for liver cancer due to hepatitis B, 1990-2021: a decomposition and age-period-cohort analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Jinbo Li, Hongjing Bai, Ziyi Gao, Linying Gao, Weigang Wang, Yandi Li, Jia Lian, Tian Yao, Keke Wang, Ruigang Hao and 2 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology international, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Jinbo Li *School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Hongjing Bai *School of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Ziyi GaoSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Linying GaoSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Weigang WangSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Yandi LiSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Jia LianSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Tian YaoFirst Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Keke WangFirst Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China.
Ruigang HaoTaiyuan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Taiyuan, 030012, China. 356283041@qq.com.
Suping WangSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China. supingwang@sxmu.edu.cn.
Yongliang FengSchool of Public Health, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, China. yongliang.feng@sxmu.edu.cn.

Funding

Four "Batches" Innovation Project of Invigorating Medical through Science and Technology of Shanxi Province 2023XM037Fundamental Research Program of Shanxi Province 202303021211122National Natural Science Foundation of China 82073622Research Project Supported by Shanxi Scholarship Council of China 2023-096
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study comprehensively assessed the burden of liver cancer due to hepatitis B (LCHB) from 1990 to 2021, analyzing temporal trends in disease burden and associations with age, period and birth cohort.

methodsAge-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of LCHB from 1990 to 2021 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. Joinpoint regression analysis estimated long-term trends. Age-period-cohort analysis evaluated the independent effects of age, period and cohort. Decomposition analysis elucidated the impact of population growth, aging and epidemiological changes on the burden.

resultsBetween 1990 and 2019, the ASIR and ASMR of LCHB witnessed an overall declining trend worldwide, with a notably higher burden in males compared to females. The highest ASIR and ASMR were observed in the middle socio-demographic index (SDI) region, while the lowest were in the low-middle SDI region, with substantial differences across countries. Age-period-cohort analysis revealed an initial increase in risk followed by a decline with advancing age, with the burden primarily affecting the elderly. Decomposition analysis indicated that population growth and aging were the primary drivers of the increase in incident cases and deaths.

conclusionsFrom 1990 to 2021, the ASIR and ASMR of LCHB decreased globally. However, population growth and aging contributed to an increase in the absolute numbers of incident cases and deaths. The risk burden increased with age, and favourable period and cohort effects were found in all SDI regions.

Indexed as

Hepatitis BLiver NeoplasmsAdultAgedAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedMortalityDecomposition analysisEpidemiological changesHepatitis B virusHepatocellular carcinomaJoinpoint regressionLocal driftNet driftPopulation agingPopulation growthSocio-demographic index

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.