Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39697074›Full record

ArticleJournal of aging and health2026

A Painful Reality Check? Examining the Accuracy of Subjective Survival Probabilities by Pain Interference and Depression Status.

Gillian Fennell, Theresa Andrasfay, Hanna Grol-Prokopczyk, Jennifer Ailshire

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of aging and health, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Gillian FennellLeonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2932-6357
Theresa AndrasfayDepartment of Public Health, California State University San Marcos, San Marcos, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3885-8718
Hanna Grol-ProkopczykDepartment of Sociology and Criminology, University at Buffalo, State University of New York, Buffalo, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3270-637X
Jennifer AilshireLeonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4476-9458

Funding

HRS Yrs29-34: Y33 SSA CoFundingU01AG009740 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jessica Faul, KENNETH M LANGA · 1990 to 2026
$555.8M
RESEARCH TRAINING IN GERONTOLOGYT32AG000037 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI JENNIFER A AILSHIRE, EILEEN M CRIMMINS · 1985 to 2026
$13.2M
The Demography of Chronic Pain: A Population Approach to Pain Trends, Pain Disparities, and Pain-Related Disability and DeathR01AG065351 · NIA · STATE UNIVERSITY OF NEW YORK AT BUFFALO · PI GROL-PROKOPCZYK, HANNA · 2020 to 2024
$1.5M
Boston University Rheumatology Research Training (BURRT) T32 ProgramT32AR080623 · NIAMS · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI TUHINA NEOGI · 2022 to 2026
$895k
NIAMS NIH HHS T32 AR080623NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065351NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000037NIA NIH HHS U01 AG009740
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PurposePain and depression are linked to higher mortality risk and lower subjective survival probabilities (SSPs). We examine if SSPs for individuals with pain and depression match their actual lifespans.MethodsUsing data on 12,745 Health and Retirement Study respondents aged 57-89 in 2000 with follow-up through 2018, we assessed whether respondents' SSPs were "correct," "underestimated," or "overestimated" relative to their lifespans. Adjusted multinomial logistic regressions predicted SSP accuracy based on pain interference, depression, and their interaction.ResultsSevere or interfering pain (i.e., high impact pain) was associated with a 25% higher risk of underestimating SSPs (RRR = 1.25,

Indexed as

DepressionLongevityPainAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle Agedlongevity expectationsmortalityphysical functioningsubjective life expectancy

Identifiers

PMID39697074
PMCPMC12697578

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.