Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39696432›Full record

ArticlePopulation health metrics2024

Beyond the underlying cause of death: an algorithm to study multi-morbidity at death.

Francesco Grippo, Luisa Frova, Marilena Pappagallo, Magali Barbieri, Sergi Trias-Llimós, Viviana Egidi, France Meslé, Aline Désesquelles

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Population health metrics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Mortality Dynamics in Low-Mortality Countries: An Introduction to the Special Issue.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Multi-Morbidity at Death and the US Disadvantage in Mortality.European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Francesco GrippoIstituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT), Viale Liegi, 13, 00198, Rome, Italy. frgrippo@istat.it.
Luisa FrovaIstituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT), Viale Liegi, 13, 00198, Rome, Italy.
Marilena PappagalloIstituto Nazionale di Statistica (ISTAT), Viale Liegi, 13, 00198, Rome, Italy.
Magali BarbieriInstitut National d'Etudes Demographiques (INED) 9 Cours Des Humanités, CS 50004, 93322, Aubervilliers Cedex, Paris, France.
Sergi Trias-LlimósCenter for Demographic Studies (CED-CERCA), Carrer de Ca n'Altayó, Edifici E2, 08193, Bellaterra, Spain.
Viviana EgidiDipartimento di Scienze Statistiche, Sapienza University of Rome, Viale Regina Elena, 295, 00161, Rome, Italy.
France MesléInstitut National d'Etudes Demographiques (INED) 9 Cours Des Humanités, CS 50004, 93322, Aubervilliers Cedex, Paris, France.
Aline DésesquellesInstitut National d'Etudes Demographiques (INED) 9 Cours Des Humanités, CS 50004, 93322, Aubervilliers Cedex, Paris, France.

Funding

Program Development (Pilot)P30AG012839 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI Magali Barbieri · 1999 to 2026
$18.6M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG012839Spanish State Research Agency RYC2021-033123-IUniversity of California Berkeley Center for the Economics and Demography of Aging (CEDA) P30AG012839
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn countries with high life expectancy, a growing share of the population is living with several diseases, a situation referred to as multi-morbidity. In addition to health data, cause-of-death data, based on the information reported on death certificates, can help monitor and characterize this situation. This requires going beyond the underlying cause of death and accounting for all causes on the death certificates which may have played various roles in the morbid process, depending on how they relate to each other.

methodsApart from the underlying cause, the cause-of death data available in vital registration systems do not differentiate all other causes. We developed an algorithm based on the WHO rules that assigns a "role" to each entry on the death certificate. We distinguish between the following roles: originating (o), when the condition has initiated a sequence of events leading directly to death; precipitating (p), when it was caused by an originating condition or one of its consequences; associated (a), when it contributed to death but was not part of the direct sequence leading to death; ill-defined (i), i.e., conditions such as symptoms or signs or poorly informative causes. We applied this algorithm to all death records in four countries (Italy, France, Spain and the US) in 2017.

resultsThe average number of originating causes is similar in the four countries. The proportion of death certificates with more than one originating cause-a situation typical of multi-morbidity-ranges from 10% in the US to 18% in Spain. All ages combined, the proportion of deaths with at least one associated cause is higher in Italy (41%) and in the US (42%) than in France (29%) and in Spain (27%). It is especially high in the US at all adult ages. Variations in the average number of causes between the four countries are mainly due to precipitating and ill-defined causes.

conclusionsThe output of our algorithm sheds light on cross-country differences in the average number of causes on death certificates. It also opens the door for improvements in the methods used for multiple cause-of-death analysis.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsCause of DeathDeath CertificatesLife ExpectancyAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildFemaleFranceHumansItalyMaleMiddle AgedMultimorbidityAgingCauses of deathMortalityMulti-morbidity

Identifiers

PMID39696432
PMCPMC11653578

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.