Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39687053›Full record

ArticleTherapeutic advances in medical oncology2024

Circulating tumor DNA-guided treatment decision in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer patients: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Catharina J P Op 't Hoog, Sabien J E Bosman, Emmy Boerrigter, Niven Mehra, Inge M van Oort, Nielka P van Erp, Wietske Kievit

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Therapeutic advances in medical oncology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. The Prognostic Impact of Early ctDNA Kinetics in Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer Using the ctDNA-RECIST.Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Catharina J P Op 't HoogDepartment of Pharmacy, Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0003-4204-5346
Sabien J E BosmanIQ Health, Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Emmy BoerrigterDepartment of Pharmacy, Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3041-6774
Niven MehraDepartment of Medical Oncology, Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Inge M van OortDepartment of Urology, Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Nielka P van ErpDepartment of Pharmacy, Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Wietske KievitIQ Health (160), Research Institute for Medical Innovation, Radboud University Medical Center, P.O. Box 9101, Nijmegen 6500 HB, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPI), abiraterone acetate and enzalutamide, are commonly used in first-line treatment of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC). However, early resistance to ARPI treatment occurs frequently. Traditionally, the response is evaluated 3-6 months after the start of treatment. However, recent findings indicate that by detecting circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) at baseline and 4 weeks after ARPI treatment initiation, patients with a nondurable response can be identified after 4 weeks of treatment, enabling an early switch to alternative treatments. Objective: This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ctDNA-guided treatment switch after 4 weeks of ARPI therapy in mCRPC patients compared to standard of care. Design: A cost-effectiveness analysis. Methods: A cost-effectiveness analysis was conducted by creating a Markov state transition model to simulate progression, mortality, and treatment costs over a 5-year time horizon comparing ctDNA-guided care versus standard of care. The outcomes measured were incremental treatment costs per life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained. Results: The analysis showed an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €65,400.86 per QALY gained and an incremental net monetary benefit of €2716.62. Thereby, the use of ctDNA-guided treatment was cost-effective in comparison to standard care in 74% of the simulations using a willingness-to-pay threshold of €80,000 per QALY gained. Conclusion: Our study demonstrated the cost-effectiveness of using a ctDNA-guided early therapy switch in non-responders after only 4 weeks of first-line ARPI therapy in mCRPC patients. This paves the way for implementing ctDNA-guided treatment decisions in clinical practice.

Indexed as

androgen receptor pathway inhibitorsbiomarkerschemotherapycirculating tumor DNA (ctDNA)cost-effectiveness analysishealth services researchhormone therapyliquid biopsyprostate cancer

Identifiers

PMID39687053
PMCPMC11648017

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.