Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39676916›Full record

ArticleHeliyon2024

Forecasting of tilapia (

Mohammad Abu Baker Siddique, Balaram Mahalder, Mohammad Mahfujul Haque, Mobin Hossain Shohan, Jatish Chandra Biswas, Shahrina Akhtar, A K Shakur Ahammad

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heliyon, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mohammad Abu Baker SiddiqueDepartment of Fisheries Biology and Genetics, Faculty of Fisheries, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.
Balaram MahalderDepartment of Aquaculture, Faculty of Fisheries, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.
Mohammad Mahfujul HaqueDepartment of Aquaculture, Faculty of Fisheries, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.
Mobin Hossain ShohanDepartment of Aquaculture, Faculty of Fisheries, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.
Jatish Chandra BiswasKrishi Gobeshona Foundation, BARC Complex, Farmgate, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Shahrina AkhtarKrishi Gobeshona Foundation, BARC Complex, Farmgate, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
A K Shakur AhammadDepartment of Fisheries Biology and Genetics, Faculty of Fisheries, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tilapia farming has expanded rapidly in Bangladesh over the years thanks to a suitable climate for aquaculture and a consistently increasing demand for the fish rich in vitamins and minerals. A clear picture regarding the future trend of tilapia production in Bangladesh is still not available, however. The purpose of this study was to estimate parameters that fit into the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model for forecasting tilapia production in Bangladesh. This was accomplished by calibrating and validating the ARIMA model taking into account the lowest values of the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criteria (BIC), graphical arrangements of autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF) plots. The best model derived was ARIMA (1, 1, 1), which showed an upward trend of tilapia production since 2006 to date and predicted a similar trend until the year 2040. If this trend continues, the yearly tilapia outturn in the country may reach 690,000 MT, with an upper limit of 1.15 million MT and lower limit of 0.23 million MT, reflecting a substantial increase of around 118% over that produced in 2021. The results of this study will serve as a valuable resource for researchers, decision-makers, academics, and tilapia entrepreneurs, enabling them to develop effective action plans to optimize tilapia production in Bangladesh and strategize for the future integration of tilapia within the country.

Indexed as

ARIMAAutocorrelation functionAuto regressionBangladeshEstimating parametersModelingMoving averageNational fish policyTilapia production

Identifiers

PMID39676916
PMCPMC11639723

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.