Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39661334›Full record

ArticleLiver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society2025

Enhancing the prognostic accuracy of the RETREAT score with AFP-L3 and DCP tumor markers.

Joshua S Norman, P Jonathan Li, Prashant Kotwani, Francis Y Yao, Sarah Pham, Jasmine Gamez, Neil Mehta

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Long-Term Prognostic Value of AFP and PIVKA-II in HCC After Living Donor Liver Transplantation: A Single-Center Retrospective Study.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Joshua S NormanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6244-7065
P Jonathan LiDepartment of Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5204-6401
Prashant KotwaniDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5104-7840
Francis Y YaoDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
Sarah PhamDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
Jasmine GamezDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.
Neil MehtaDepartment of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, University of California, San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-3393-0506

Funding

UCSF Liver Core CenterP30DK026743 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Holger Willenbring · 1986 to 2026
$30.7M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK026743
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The RETREAT (Risk Estimation of Tumor Recurrence After Transplant) Score is a validated tool to predict post-transplant HCC recurrence risk. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) bound to Lens culinaris agglutinin (AFP-L3) and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) measured at transplant predict worse post-LT survival and may improve the RETREAT score. Our cohort comprised 284 patients transplanted for HCC who were within or downstaged to Milan, with 23 (8.1%) experiencing HCC recurrence. The modified RETREAT (mRETREAT) score assigns AFP-L3 ≥15% 2 points and DCP ≥7.5 ng/mL 3 points. Patients with a modified RETREAT score ≥4 showed a 3-year recurrence-free survival of 73.2% versus 97.8% recurrence-free survival if <4. In comparison, the original RETREAT score had a 3-year recurrence-free survival of 80.0% if ≥2 versus 98.0% if <2. mRETREAT demonstrated a superior AUC of 0.86, compared to the original RETREAT's 0.82, and enhanced calibration and accuracy with a lower Brier score (0.04). The integration of AFP-L3 and DCP into the RETREAT score appears to enhance the prediction of post-LT HCC recurrence. Given these promising results, further study in a larger multicenter cohort is warranted for empiric derivation and validation of a modified RETREAT score, including AFP-L3 and DCP.

Indexed as

alpha-FetoproteinsBiomarkers, TumorCarcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalProtein PrecursorsProthrombinAgedBiomarkersDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingacarboxyprothrombinAFP protein, humanalpha-FetoproteinsBiomarkersBiomarkers, Tumorlentil lectinPlant LectinsProtein PrecursorsProthrombinalpha-fetoprotein bound to lens culinaris agglutinindes-gamma-carboxyprothrombinHCCliver transplantRisk Estimation of Tumor Recurrence After Transplant

Identifiers

PMID39661334
PMCPMC12497440

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.