Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39658713›Full record

ArticleEye (London, England)2025

Visual and anatomical failure of anti-VEGF therapy for retinal vascular diseases: a survival analysis of real-world data.

Dun Jack Fu, Amit V Mishra, Chrystie Quek, Konstantinos Balaskas, Nikolas Pontikos, Dawn Sim, Sobha Sivaprasad, Livia Faes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Eye (London, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Response to anti-VEGF injections for diabetic macular edema among patients on chronic exogenous insulin therapy.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
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  3. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Dun Jack FuNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK. d.fu@nhs.net.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2852-6912
Amit V MishraNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-7586-0154
Chrystie QuekYong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Konstantinos BalaskasNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.
Nikolas PontikosNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.
Dawn SimNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.
Sobha SivaprasadNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.
Livia FaesNIHR Biomedical Research Centre At Moorfields Eye Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, UCL Institute of Ophthalmology, London, UK.

Funding

AbbVie (AbbVie Inc.) SIMD1004
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

importancePredicting undesirable outcomes following anti-VEGF initiation in macular oedema is critical for effective clinical decision-making and optimised care.

objectiveTo estimate the time to undesirable events in diabetic macular oedema (DMO), central and branch vein occlusions (CRVO and BRVO) after appropriate loading doses with either ranibizumab or aflibercept and identified baseline predictors of negative outcome. DESIGN, SETTING,

participantsA retrospective cohort study of 3277 patients (N = 2107 in DMO, N = 413 in CRVO and N = 757 in BRVO) collected over a 10-year period, in a large UK tertiary centre. Only one eye was included per patient. Inclusion criteria pre-specified a minimum of two clinic visits with one being at least 6 months post treatment. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: The main outcome measure was absence of visual acuity (VA) improvement due to macular oedema failure of anti-VEGF therapy (defined as VA gain <5 ETDRS letters and CST increase of 50 µm or CST > 325 µm) modelled using time-event analyzes of appropriately loaded patients. Secondary outcomes included survival curves by individual condition (DMO, CRVO, BRVO) and factors associated with negative outcomes.

resultsAfter starting anti-VEGF, there was a 50% chance of undesirable outcomes at 2.3, 5.24 and 6.16 years for DMO, CRVO and BRVO, respectively. Cox proportional hazards modelling identified presenting age, intraretinal (IRF) volume, presence of DMO and VA as predictors of negative outcomes, whilst South East Asian ethnicity conferred an independent protective effect.

conclusionReal-world data suggest that undesirable events following anti-VEGF injections is likely to in 50% of patients by the third year of treatment in spite of appropriate loading. The definition of undesirable treatment events captured nearly all patients who were escalated to another therapy, but this proportion represented a small percentage of our definition of failed response.

Indexed as

Angiogenesis InhibitorsDiabetic RetinopathyMacular EdemaRanibizumabReceptors, Vascular Endothelial Growth FactorRecombinant Fusion ProteinsRetinal Vein OcclusionVascular Endothelial Growth Factor AVisual AcuityAgedFemaleHumansIntravitreal InjectionsMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesafliberceptAngiogenesis InhibitorsRanibizumabReceptors, Vascular Endothelial Growth FactorRecombinant Fusion ProteinsVascular Endothelial Growth Factor AVEGFA protein, human

Identifiers

PMID39658713
PMCPMC11933433

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.