Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39658224›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2025

Human papillomavirus genotype-specific prevalence and infection risks: a 10-year population-based study from the United States.

Cosette M Wheeler, Rachael Adcock, William C Hunt, Michael Robertson, Norah E Torrez-Martinez, Ruth McDonald, Emily Merchasin, Steven Jenison, Debbie Saslow, Nancy E Joste and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Cosette M WheelerCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-3229-5846
Rachael AdcockCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-2856-7108
William C HuntCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.ORCID 0009-0005-8688-7953
Michael RobertsonCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.
Norah E Torrez-MartinezCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-3037-4604
Ruth McDonaldCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5823-2099
Emily MerchasinCenter for HPV Prevention, University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.
Steven JenisonDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.
Debbie SaslowScreening and Vaccination, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States.
Nancy E JosteDepartment of Pathology, University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, NM 87131, United States.
Philip E CastleDivisions of Cancer Prevention and Cancer Epidemiology & Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD 20892, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-6408-5985
Jane J KimHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Center for Health Decision Science, Department of Health Policy and Management, Boston, MA 02115, United States.
Jack CuzickQueen Mary University of London, Center for Cancer Screening, Prevention, Early Diagnosis, Wolfson Institute of Population Health, London EC1M 6BQ, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7420-7512
New Mexico HPV Pap Registry Steering Committee Members

Funding

HHSInfectious Diseases U19AI084081National Institute of AllergyNCI NIH HHSNIH HHSRoche Molecular Systems, Pleasanton, CaliforniaUniversity of New Mexico Health Sciences Center
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVarious studies have reported on the impact of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines. Here we present the largest population-based investigation of genotype-specific distributions over the decade following implementation of the quadrivalent HPV vaccine (HPV-6/11/16/18) in the United States.

methodsLiquid-based cervical cytology samples from individuals aged 15-30 years undergoing cervical screening throughout New Mexico were tested by broad-spectrum HPV genotyping. Weighted relative differences in HPV type-specific prevalence and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated by comparing individuals screened between 2007 and 2009 (n = 95 915) with individuals screened between 2013 and 2016 (n = 103 371). Weighted logistic regression was used to estimate relative risk of type-specific HPV infections. Tests of significance were 2-sided.

resultsGenotype-specific prevalence fell with statistical signficance for HPV-16 (relative difference = ‒52.6%, 95% CI = ‒56.9 to ‒48.3), HPV-18 (relative difference = ‒62.1%, 95% CI = ‒68.5 to ‒55.8), HPV-31 (relative difference = ‒34.2%, 95% CI = ‒42.1 to ‒26.3), and HPV-33 (relative difference = ‒31.8%, 95% CI = ‒48.4 to ‒15.1). The relative difference increased for other carcinogenic HPV types by 19.5% (95% CI = 14.3 to 24.6) when excluding HPV-16/18. Large reductions in HPV-6/11 relative differences were observed, but overall, noncarcinogenic, nonvaccine types increased. Comparing female individuals born in 1996 with female individuals born in 1989, risk of infection with HPV-6, 11, 16, and 18 decreased by 80.0% among individuals aged 21-25 years. High-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or worse decreased by 49.4% when extending the evaluation from 2007 to 2018.

conclusionThe incidence of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions or worse is decreasing, with large reductions in the prevalence of quadrivalent HPV vaccine types and nonvaccine types HPV-31 and HPV-33, reflecting vaccine cross-protection. Increases in nonvaccine HPV genotypes may attenuate anticipated reductions in HPV-related abnormalities, including cancers, but the benefits of HPV vaccination remain substantial.

Indexed as

PapillomaviridaePapillomavirus InfectionsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdolescentAdultAlphapapillomavirusFemaleGenotypeHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansNew MexicoPapillomavirus VaccinesPrevalenceUnited StatesYoung AdultPapillomavirus Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID39658224
PMCPMC12058271

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.