ArticleJournal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics2024
Model-informed approach to estimate treatment effect in placebo-controlled clinical trials using an artificial intelligence-based propensity weighting methodology to account for non-specific responses to treatment.
Article in Journal of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Patterns of seizure frequency reduction in clinical trial participants with lower baseline seizure frequency.Epilepsia · 2026Article
- Global Trends in Integrating Machine Learning (ML) with Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD): A Bibliometric and Systematic Review (2015-2025).Pharmaceutics · 2026Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In randomized, placebo controlled clinical trials (RCT) in major depressive disorders (MDD), treatment response (TR) is estimated by the change from baseline at study-end (EOS) of the scores of clinical scales used for assessing disease severity. Treatment effect (TE) is estimated by the baseline-adjusted difference at EOS of TR between active treatments and placebo.The TE is function of treatment-specific and, non-specific (NSRT) effect (referred as placebo effect), and placebo response. The conventional statistical approaches used to estimate TE does not account for the potentially confounding effect of NSRT. This pragmatic approach is equivalent to assume that TE is independent of NSRT even if this assumption is not true, leading to potential risks of inflating false negative/positive results in presence of high proportion of subjects with high/low NSRT.The objective of this study was to develop a model informed framework to analyze the outcomes of RCTs using data driven models, non-linear-mixed effect approach, artificial intelligence, and propensity score weighted methodology (PSW) to control the confounding effect of treatment non-specific response on the estimated TE. The secondary objective was to explore the impact of relevant covariates (including the assessment of a dose-response relationship) on the outcomes of pooled data from two RCTs.The proposed PSW approach provides a critical tool for controlling the confounding effect of treatment non-specific response, to increase signal detection and to provide a reliable estimate of the 'true' treatment effect by controlling false negative results associated with excessively high treatment non-specific response.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.