ArticleNature ecology & evolution2025
Phenological divergence between plants and animals under climate change.
Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Meta-analysis reveals asymmetric root and microbial phenology shifts under global change.Nature communications · 2026Pooled it
- Tree growth response and adaptation to climate change and climate extremes: From canopy to stem.Journal of integrative plant biology · 2026Review
- Timing matters for plants and their herbivores.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Detecting vegetation anomalies in mediterranean ecosystems in southern Italy using sentinel-2 NDVI time series and principal component analysis.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Climate heterogeneity enhances macroclimate data-driven vegetation modeling on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Meteorology and geography, more than biological traits, drive variation in frog phenology across decades.Ecology · 2026Article
- Contrasting phenological shifts in diurnal and nocturnal Lepidoptera under climate change.Communications biology · 2026Article
- The Potential Habitat ofEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Climate change breakups.Nature ecology & evolution · 2026Article
- Effects of soil and climatic factors on the potential distribution ofFrontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Composite function and Biomod2 for evaluating the influence of climate change on the distribution ofOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025Article
- Effects of pattern dynamics on carbon storage capacity in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau from 1980 to 2020.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Spring comes earlier but not equally among species.Nature ecology & evolution · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Climate change has altered the timing of recurring biological cycles in both plants and animals. Phenological changes may be unequal within and among trophic levels, potentially impacting the intricate interactions that regulate ecosystem functioning. Here we compile and analyse a global dataset of terrestrial phenological observations, including nearly half a million time series for both plants and animals. Our analysis reveals an increasing phenological asynchronization between plants and animals from 1981 to 2020, with a stronger overall advancement of late-season phenophases for plants than for animals. Almost 30% of temporal variations in plant phenophases can be explained by the timing of the preceding phenophases. This temporal dependency allows the advancement caused by warming to accumulate and propagate through seasons, advancing later phenophases more than earlier phases. By contrast, animals rely on various environmental cues and resource-tracking strategies to initiate their life-cycle activities, which weakens their cross-phenophase linkage and undermines the effect of warming. Our results suggest that future warming may increase phenological asynchronization between plants and animals and potentially disturb trophic interactions and ecosystem stability.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.