Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39644101›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2024

Assessment of Inflammatory Biomarkers and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Older Adults.

Sanyog G Shitole, Susan R Heckbert, Gregory M Marcus, Sanjiv J Shah, Nona Sotoodehnia, Jeremy D Walston, Alexander P Reiner, Russell P Tracy, Bruce M Psaty, Jorge R Kizer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Inflammation and day-to-day occurrence of atrial fibrillation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Sanyog G ShitoleCardiology Section San Francisco Veterans Affairs Health Care System San Francisco CA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3831-5118
Susan R HeckbertDepartment of Epidemiology University of Washington Seattle WA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7100-512X
Gregory M MarcusDepartment of Medicine University of California San Francisco San Francisco CA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5197-7696
Sanjiv J ShahDepartment of Medicine Northwestern University Chicago IL USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5655-8201
Nona SotoodehniaDepartment of Epidemiology University of Washington Seattle WA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2705-6237
Jeremy D WalstonDepartment of Medicine Johns Hopkins University Baltimore MD USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6965-2723
Alexander P ReinerDepartment of Epidemiology University of Washington Seattle WA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1427-4470
Russell P TracyDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine The University of Vermont Burlington VT USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0080-2420
Bruce M PsatyDepartment of Epidemiology University of Washington Seattle WA USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7278-2190
Jorge R KizerCardiology Section San Francisco Veterans Affairs Health Care System San Francisco CA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9936-7803

Funding

Exceptional Survival: Trajectories to Functional Aging (CHS All Stars)R01AG023629 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2004 to 2016
$9.5M
CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH STUDY (CHS) - TASK AREA C, STUDY CLOSEOUT75N92021D00006 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE · 2021 to 2024
$8.4M
CHS research resources for the cardiovascular health of older adultsU01HL130114 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BURKE, GREGORY L, KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2016 to 2019
$6.6M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyU01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2005 to 2008
$4.6M
Applying Digital Health to the AF Ablation NCDR, Enabling Longitudinal Follow-upR01HL158825 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI MARCUS, GREGORY M · 2021 to 2025
$3.4M
Advanced Glycation Endproducts and Cardio-Renal DiseaseK24HL135413 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI KIZER, JORGE R · 2017 to 2021
$606k
CORONARY HEART DISEASE AND STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65-84N01HC085082 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI KULLER, LEWIS H · 1988 to 2000
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CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65-84N01HC085083 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS · PI ROBBINS, JOHN A · 1988 to 1999
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CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65 TO 84N01HC085079 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · 1988 to 2005
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CHS-Transition Phase -268055222-268055222N01HC055222 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2005 to 2006
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CENTRAL BLOOD ANALYSIS LABORATORY FOR CHSN01HC085086 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1988 to 2000
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CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN THE ELDERLYN01HC085080 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1988 to 2000
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NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92021D00006NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268200800007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201200036CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201800001CNHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL135413NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC055222NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085079NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085080NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085081NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085082NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085083NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085086NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL158825NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL080295NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL130114NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAvailable evidence supports the importance of inflammation in atrial fibrillation (AF) pathogenesis, yet general anti-inflammatory therapies have failed to show benefit for prevention of the arrhythmia. Better understanding of the specific inflammatory pathways involved is necessary to advance therapeutics. METHODS AND

resultsWe evaluated 9 circulating markers of inflammation measured by immunoassays and incidence of AF in a population-based older cohort. Biomarkers included measures of general inflammation and the NLR (nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptor) family pyrin domain containing 3 inflammasome, TNF-α (tumor necrosis factor α), monocyte activation markers, and sIL-2 (soluble interleukin-2). Among 5726 participants (median age 72 years), 1836 developed AF over median follow-up of 11.5 years. After adjustment for conventional risk factors, 5 biomarkers were positively associated with incident AF: IL-6 (interleukin-6), hazard ratio (HR), 1.14 (95% CI, 1.07-1.21); hs-CRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein), HR, 1.05 (95% CI, 1.01-1.09); white blood cell count, HR, 1.18 (95% CI, 1.04-1.35); sTNFR1 (soluble TNF receptor 1), HR, 1.21 (95% CI, 1.05-1.39); and sIL-2Rα (sIL-2 receptor α), HR, 1.16 (95% CI, 1.05-1.29) (all per doubling of biomarker). sCD14, sCD163, IL-18, and IL-1 receptor antagonist showed no association with AF. Upon concurrent adjustment for all biomarkers, only IL-6 remained significantly associated with the arrhythmia, HR, 1.17 (95% CI, 1.07-1.26).

conclusionsAmong older adults, IL-6, hs-CRP, white blood cell count, sTNFR1, and sIL-2Rα were positively associated with incident AF, but only IL-6 retained significance on concurrent adjustment. These findings newly document associations for sTNFR1 and sIL-2Rα and lend support to a preeminent role for IL-6 in development of this arrhythmia. The efficacy of IL-6 blockade for AF prevention awaits completion of appropriate clinical trials.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationBiomarkersInflammationAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsC-Reactive ProteinFemaleHumansIncidenceInflammation MediatorsInterleukin-2Interleukin-6MaleProspective StudiesReceptors, Tumor Necrosis Factor, Type IBiomarkersC-Reactive ProteinInflammation MediatorsInterleukin-2Interleukin-6Receptors, Tumor Necrosis Factor, Type ITumor Necrosis Factor-alphaatrial fibrillationinflammationolder adults

Identifiers

PMID39644101
PMCPMC11935547

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.