Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39642135›Full record

ArticlePloS one2024

Roles of host and environment in shift of primary anthrax host species in Kruger National Park.

Sunday O Ochai, Lourens Snyman, Amelie C Dolfi, Abel Ramoelo, Brian K Reilly, Judith M Botha, Edgar H Dekker, O Louis van Schalkwyk, Pauline L Kamath, Emma Archer and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Sunday O OchaiDepartment of Veterinary Tropical Diseases, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-0094-9537
Lourens SnymanDepartment of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Hatfield, Pretoria, South Africa.
Amelie C DolfiDepartment of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, Wisconsin Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States of America.
Abel RamoeloDepartment of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Hatfield, Pretoria, South Africa.
Brian K ReillyDepartment of Genetics, Faculty of Natural and Agricultural Sciences, University of Free State, Bloemfontein, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-1444-1547
Judith M BothaSavanna Research Unit, Scientific Services, South African National Parks, Skukuza, South Africa.
Edgar H DekkerDepartment of Agriculture, Office of the State Veterinarian, Forestry and Fisheries, Government of South Africa, Skukuza, South Africa.
O Louis van SchalkwykDepartment of Veterinary Tropical Diseases, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort, South Africa.
Pauline L KamathSchool of Food and Agriculture, University of Maine, Orono, Maine, United States of America.
Emma ArcherDepartment of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Hatfield, Pretoria, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-5374-3866
Wendy C TurnerDepartment of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, U.S. Geological Survey, Wisconsin Cooperative Wildlife Research Unit, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0302-1646
Henriette van HeerdenDepartment of Veterinary Tropical Diseases, Faculty of Veterinary Science, University of Pretoria, Onderstepoort, South Africa.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Environmental and climatic factors, as well as host demographics and behaviour, significantly influence the exposure of herbivorous mammalian hosts to pathogens such as Bacillus anthracis, the causative agent of anthrax. Until the early 1990s in Kruger National Park (KNP), kudu (Tragelaphus strepsiceros) was the host species most affected by anthrax, with outbreaks occurring predominantly in the dry season, particularly during drought cycles. However, the most affected host species has shifted to impala (Aepyceros melampus), with more frequent anthrax outbreaks during the wet season. This study investigates the roles of environmental variation and other host species in this shift. Temporal trends in environmental variables such as precipitation, soil moisture, temperature, and normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) were analyzed in relation to anthrax occurrence (presence/ absence and counts). Additionally, correlations between host species' densities and anthrax mortalities over time were examined. Anthrax cases in 1990 were concentrated in the central and northern regions of KNP(excluding Pafuri), primarily affected kudus; while subsequent mortalities affected mostly impala and were restricted to the far north, in Pafuri. Significant correlations were found between kudu anthrax mortality and a decrease in NDVI, average temperature, SPI-6 and SPI-12 (Standardised Precipitation Index in various time intervals. Conversely, anthrax occurrence in impalas was associated with a decline in SPI-3, and temperature rise, with increased mortality during the rainy season. Elephant density correlated negatively with kudu mortality, but a positive correlation with both impala mortality and impala density. The study concludes that environmental variables and species' densities may alter the diversity and frequency of hosts exposed to B. anthracis. Climate extremes and alterations therein may exacerbate anthrax severity by modifying species susceptibility and their probability of exposure over time.

Indexed as

AnthraxBacillus anthracisParks, RecreationalSeasonsAnimalsDisease OutbreaksEnvironmentHost-Pathogen InteractionsNamibiaTemperature

Identifiers

PMID39642135
PMCPMC11623471

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.