Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39641895›Full record

ArticleDigestive diseases and sciences2025

Development and Validation of the PICK-UP-STRICS Score to Predict Fibrostenosis in Patients with EoE Prior to Endoscopy.

Joy W Chang, Sean S LaFata, Timothy S Gee, Walker D Redd, Trevor S Barlowe, Cary C Cotton, Swathi Eluri, Craig C Reed, Evan S Dellon

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Digestive diseases and sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Eosinophilic gastrointestinal diseases.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Joy W ChangDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Sean S LaFataDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Timothy S GeeDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Walker D ReddDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Trevor S BarloweDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Cary C CottonDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Swathi EluriDepartment of Medicine, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL, USA.
Craig C ReedDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Evan S DellonDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC, USA. edellon@med.unc.edu.

Funding

DIGESTIVE DISEASES EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING PROGRAMT32DK007634 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT S. SANDLER · 1990 to 2026
$7.4M
SHORT-TERM RESEARCH TRAININGT35DK007386 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Evan Samuel Dellon · 1986 to 2026
$4.1M
Developing Patient-Centered Decision Support for Eosinophilic EsophagitisK23DK129784 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Joy Weiling CHANG · 2022 to 2026
$1.1M
Approaches and Outcomes of Shared Decision-making and Patient Centered Care Delivery in Barrett's EsophagusK23DK131338 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Swathi Eluri · 2022 to 2026
$1000k
NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK129784NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK131338NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007634NIDDK NIH HHS T35 DK007386NIH HHS K23DK129784; T32 DK007634, K23DK131338 (SE) and T35 DK007386
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPredicting fibrostenotic complications prior to endoscopy in eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is challenging and esophageal strictures and narrowing are commonly missed on endoscopy.

aimTo develop and validate a score to predict fibrostenosis in EoE patients prior to endoscopy.

methodsWe leveraged a large database of newly diagnosed EoE patients. Fibrostenosis was defined as esophageal stricture, luminal narrowing, or dilation performed during the diagnostic endoscopy. Patients were randomly divided into a development and validation set. We compared features between patients with and without fibrostenosis to inform the initial model and assess predictive ability, as measured by area under curve (AUC). We tested the model in the independent validation set and generated a score to predict low, medium and high fibrostenosis risk.

resultsIn 655 newly diagnosed EoE patients in the development set, fibrostenosis was associated with age ≥ 18 years (OR 10.64; 95% CI 5.61-20.17), symptoms for ≥ 5 years prior to diagnosis (OR 2.07; 1.32-3.24), dysphagia (OR 3.72; 1.68-8.22), food impaction (OR 1.68; 1.07-2.62), and lack of abdominal pain (OR 0.28; 0.14-0.60). The model predicted fibrostenosis (AUC = 0.841). In the validation set (n = 654), AUC was preserved (0.831). A scoring system was generated, with scores of ≤ 2 being low risk (< 10% chance of stricture), 2.5-4.5 medium risk (10-50% stricture), and 5-6 high risk (> 50%).

conclusionsWe developed and validated the PICK-UP-STRICS score to increase suspicion and detection of fibrostenotic disease in EoE using readily available clinical features prior to endoscopy. This score may guide clinical decisions on the need of endoscopic dilation.

Indexed as

Eosinophilic EsophagitisEsophageal StenosisEsophagoscopyAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsYoung AdultEosinophilic esophagitisModelNarrowingPredictStricture

Identifiers

PMID39641895
PMCPMC12269376

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.