Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39639278›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

When and why do people change their minds in favor of vaccination? Longitudinal analyses of switching COVID-19 vaccination preferences.

Floor Kroese, Wijnand van den Boom, Vincent Buskens, Pepijn van Empelen, Marlies Hulscher, Robert A C Ruiter, Daniëlle R M Timmermans, Marion de Vries, Marijn de Bruin, Mattijs Lambooij

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Floor KroeseNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands. floor.kroese@rivm.nl.
Wijnand van den BoomNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Vincent BuskensNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Pepijn van EmpelenDepartment of Child Health, TNO, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Marlies HulscherInstitute of Health Sciences, IQ Healthcare, Radboud UMC, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Robert A C RuiterDepartment of Work and Social Psychology, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Daniëlle R M TimmermansDepartment of Public and Occupational Health, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marion de VriesNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Marijn de BruinNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Mattijs LambooijNational Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVaccinations are a cornerstone of public health. However, reluctance to accepting vaccines is common. Using longitudinal data, we investigated which individual and contextual factors were associated with switching preferences from initial hesitancy or unwillingness toward acceptance of a first COVID-19 vaccination.

methods12,512 participants of a Dutch cohort study who initially indicated being hesitant or unwilling to get vaccinated were included (December 2020-June 2022). Cox regression was used to determine what sociodemographic factors (e.g., age), vaccination-specific beliefs (e.g., perceived efficacy) and contextual factors (e.g., stringency of COVID-19 measures) were associated with switching toward getting vaccinated. Analyses were stratified into (1) the active campaign phase (over time more people became eligible for vaccination), versus (2) the residual phase (everyone was eligible and could still get vaccinated).

resultsOver time, 86% of initially hesitant and 34% of initially unwilling participants got vaccinated or intended to do so. Switching was less likely for people aged 40-54y (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.76 [95%CI = 0.69-0.84]) in phase 1, while in phase 2 they were more likely to do so (aHR = 1.44; 95%CI = 1.08-1.92). In both phases, people were more likely to switch if they had positive beliefs about its efficacy (phase 1: aHR = 1.76; 95%CI = 1.70-1.83; phase 2: aHR = 1.65; 95%CI = 1.54-1.77), and perceived getting vaccinated as the descriptive norm (phase 1: aHR = 1.30; 95%CI = 1.26-1.34; phase 2: aHR = 1.19; 95%CI = 1.13-1.25). During stricter lockdown measures people were also more likely to switch (phase 1: aHR = 1.26; 95%CI = 1.25-1.28; phase 2: aHR = 1.09; 95%CI = 1.08-1.09).

conclusionA majority of initially hesitant people changed their minds about vaccination during the pandemic. Preference switches in favor of vaccination were most strongly associated with beliefs about the vaccine's efficacy in preventing illness. This study underlines the importance of providing up-to-date, balanced information and decisional support for people to weigh the benefits and risks of getting vaccinated versus not getting vaccinated.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesVaccination HesitancyAdultAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsPatient Acceptance of Health CareSARS-CoV-2VaccinationYoung AdultCOVID-19 VaccinesCohort studyCOVID-19 pandemicVaccination preferenceVaccine hesitancy, COVID-19 vaccination

Identifiers

PMID39639278
PMCPMC11622449

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.