Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39633054›Full record

ArticleNature2025

Probabilistic weather forecasting with machine learning.

Ilan Price, Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez, Ferran Alet, Tom R Andersson, Andrew El-Kadi, Dominic Masters, Timo Ewalds, Jacklynn Stott, Shakir Mohamed, Peter Battaglia and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 64 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
64citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

64 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Improved Skills for Predicting Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Global Sea Surface Temperature.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2026
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  20. Machine learning multiscale collective cell dynamics: From single-cell characterization to multicellular monolayer modeling.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article

4 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Ilan Price *Google DeepMind, London, UK. pricei@google.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4765-2703
Alvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez *Google DeepMind, London, UK.
Ferran Alet *Google DeepMind, London, UK.
Tom R Andersson *Google DeepMind, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1556-9932
Andrew El-KadiGoogle DeepMind, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-6510-0831
Dominic MastersGoogle DeepMind, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-6945-8325
Timo EwaldsGoogle DeepMind, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9693-7986
Jacklynn StottGoogle DeepMind, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-7859-3384
Shakir MohamedGoogle DeepMind, London, UK.
Peter BattagliaGoogle DeepMind, London, UK. peterbattaglia@google.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3622-7111
Remi LamGoogle DeepMind, London, UK. remilam@google.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4222-5358
Matthew WillsonGoogle DeepMind, London, UK. matthjw@google.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8730-1927

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather to planning renewable energy use. Traditionally, weather forecasts have been based on numerical weather prediction (NWP)

Identifiers

PMID39633054
PMCPMC11666454

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.