Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39630199›Full record

ArticleAbdominal radiology (New York)2025

MRI-based radiomic nomogram for predicting disease-free survival in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Jun Liu, Ke Liu, Fang Cao, Pingsheng Hu, Feng Bi, Siye Liu, Lian Jian, Jumei Zhou, Shaolin Nie, Qiang Lu and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Abdominal radiology (New York), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Jun LiuDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Ke LiuDepartment of Radiotherapy, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Fang CaoDepartment of Pathology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Pingsheng HuDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Feng BiDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Siye LiuDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Lian JianDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Jumei ZhouDepartment of Radiotherapy, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Shaolin NieDepartment of Colorectal Surgery, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Qiang LuDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Xiaoping YuDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Lu WenDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Hunan Cancer Hospital and the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, People's Republic of China. wenlu@hnca.org.cn.

Funding

the China International Medical Foundation 2-2014-07-1912-22the National Natural Science Foundation of Hunan 2021JJ70104the Scientific Research Project of Hunan Provincial Health Commission 20201028
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIndividual prognosis assessment is of paramount importance for treatment decision-making and active surveillance in cancer patients. We aimed to propose a radiomic model based on pre- and post-therapy MRI features for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and subsequent surgical resection.

methodsThis retrospective study included a total of 126 LARC patients, which were randomly assigned to a training set (n = 84) and a validation set (n = 42). All patients underwent pre- and post-nCRT MRI scans. Radiomic features were extracted from higher resolution T2-weighted images. Pearson correlation analysis and ANOVA or Relief were utilized for identifying radiomic features associated with DFS. Pre-treatment, post-treatment, and delta radscores were constructed by machine learning algorithms. An individualized nomogram was developed based on significant radscores and clinical variables using multivariate Cox regression analysis. Predictive performance was evaluated by the C-index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.

resultsThe results demonstrated that in the validation set, the clinical model including pre-surgery carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), chemotherapy after radiotherapy, and pathological stage yielded a C-index of 0.755 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.739-0.771). While the optimal pre-, post-, and delta-radscores achieved C-indices of 0.724 (95%CI: 0.701-0.747), 0.701 (95%CI: 0.671-0.731), and 0.625 (95%CI: 0.589-0.661), respectively. The nomogram integrating pre-surgery CEA, pathological stage, alongside pre- and post-nCRT radscore, obtained the highest C-index of 0.833 (95%CI: 0.815-0.851). The calibration curve and decision curves exhibited good calibration and clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Furthermore, the nomogram categorized patients into high- and low-risk groups exhibiting distinct DFS (both P < 0.0001).

conclusionsThe nomogram incorporating pre- and post-therapy radscores and clinical factors could predict DFS in patients with LARC, which helps clinicians in optimizing decision-making and surveillance in real-world settings.

Indexed as

Magnetic Resonance ImagingNomogramsRectal NeoplasmsAdultAgedDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoadjuvant TherapyNeoplasm StagingPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRadiomicsRetrospective StudiesDisease-free survivalLocally advanced rectal cancerMRIRadiomic

Identifiers

PMID39630199
PMCPMC12069127

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.