Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39628276›Full record

ArticleJournal of internal medicine2025

Race and ethnicity dynamics in survival to 100 years in the United States.

Nadine Ouellette, Thomas Perls

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of internal medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Evaluating the association of apolipoprotein E genotype and cognitive resilience in SuperAgers.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Nadine OuelletteDepartment of Demography, Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Thomas PerlsDepartment of Medicine, Geriatrics Section, Boston University Chobanian & Avedisian School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1545-1720

Funding

The Long Life Family StudyU19AG063893 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI PAOLA SEBASTIANI · 2019 to 2026
$125.4M
Resilience/Resistance to Alzheimer's Disease in Centenarians and Offspring (RADCO)U19AG073172 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI ANDERSEN, STACY, BOOKHEIMER, SUSAN Y · 2021 to 2025
$23.1M
Identifying protective omics profiles in centenarians and translating these into preventive and therapeutic strategiesUH3AG064704 · NIA · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI PERLS, THOMAS T, SEBASTIANI, PAOLA · 2022 to 2025
$14.7M
Evelyn F. McKnight Brain Research FoundationNIA NIH HHS U19AG063893NIA NIH HHS U19 AG073172NIA NIH HHS U19AG073172NIA NIH HHS UH3AG064704Paulette and Marty Samowitz Family FoundationSocial Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada 435-2023-0951
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAfter age 85, the U.S. non-Hispanic Black population mortality rate becomes less than that of the White population (called the Black-White mortality crossover). It is not known how this survival advantage compares to Asian and Hispanic groups, and whether differences persist to age 100+ years.

methodsThe U.S. period life table data were extracted to obtain life expectancy at birth and at ages 70, 85, and 100 years according to year, sex, and race and ethnicity. Age-specific death rates and adult modal age at death were calculated. We computed period probabilities of survival to age 100, from ages 70, 80, and 90. Pseudo-birth cohort calculations were undertaken to enable comparison with period-based results.

resultsIn 2019, the Black-White mortality crossover occurred at 86-88 years and persisted at ages 100 and 100+. Life expectancies at age 100 for non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and Asian populations were similar and were significantly greater than the non-Hispanic White population. From 2006 to 2019, the probability of survival from 70 and 80 years to age 100 was highest for the Hispanic population, followed by non-Hispanic Black and then non-Hispanic White populations. Probability of survival from age 90 to 100 years was similar for all but the non-Hispanic White population, which had a comparatively lower probability of survival. When Asian population data became available in 2019, this population had the highest probability of survival to age 100, starting from ages 70, 80, and 90 years. Pseudo-cohort results displayed patterns consistent with those observed over calendar years.

conclusionsRace- and ethnicity-based variation in mortality between ages 85 and 100+ years suggests differences in environmental and possibly genetic influences upon risk for exceptional longevity.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyAgedAged, 80 and overAsianBlack or African AmericanFemaleHispanic or LatinoHumansMaleMortalityUnited StatesWhitecentenarianslongevitymortality crossoverrace and ethnicityUnited States

Identifiers

PMID39628276
PMCPMC11636438

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.