Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39622798›Full record

ArticleNature communications2024

Ocean warming drives immediate mass loss from calving glaciers in the high Arctic.

Ø Foss, J Maton, G Moholdt, L S Schmidt, D A Sutherland, I Fer, F Nilsen, J Kohler, A Sundfjord

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Svalbard's 2024 record summer: An early view of Arctic glacier meltdown?Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ø FossNorwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway. oyvind.foss@npolar.no.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3410-8904
J MatonNorwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway.
G MoholdtNorwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1620
L S SchmidtUniversity of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6781-1906
D A SutherlandUniversity of Oregon, Eugene, OR, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2843-8608
I FerGeophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2427-2532
F NilsenThe University Centre in Svalbard, Longyearbyen, Norway.
J KohlerNorwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway.
A SundfjordNorwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6913-3368

Funding

National Science Foundation (NSF) 2020447Norges Forskningsråd (Research Council of Norway) 276730
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Glaciers in the Arctic have lost considerable mass during the last two decades. About a third of the glaciers by area drains into the ocean, yet the mechanisms and drivers governing mass loss at glacier calving fronts are poorly constrained in part due to few long-term glacier-ocean observations. Here, we combine a detailed satellite-based record of calving front ablation for Austfonna, the largest ice cap on Svalbard, with in-situ ocean records from an offshore mooring and modelled freshwater runoff for the period 2018-2022. We show that submarine melting and calving occur almost exclusively in autumn for all types of outlet glaciers, even for the surging and fast-flowing glacier Storisstraumen. Ocean temperature controls the observed frontal ablation, whereas subglacial runoff of surface meltwater appears to have little direct impact on the total ablation. The seasonal warming of the offshore waters varies both in magnitude, depth and timing, suggesting a complex interplay between inflowing Atlantic-influenced water at depth and seasonally warmed surface water in the Barents Sea. The immediate response of frontal ablation to seasonal ocean warming suggests that marine-terminating glaciers in high Arctic regions exposed to Atlantification are prone to rapid changes that should be accounted for in future glacier projections.

Identifiers

PMID39622798
PMCPMC11612468

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.