Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39621910›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024

Permafrost instability negates the positive impact of warming temperatures on boreal radial growth.

Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez, Andrew D Richardson, Sharon L Smith, Jill F Johnstone, Merritt R Turetsky, Steven G Cumming, James M Le Moine, Jennifer L Baltzer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Permafrost instability negates the positive impact of warming temperatures on boreal radial growth.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Raquel Alfaro-SánchezNorthern Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Edmonton, AB T6H 3S5, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-7357-3027
Andrew D RichardsonCenter for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011.ORCID 0000-0002-0148-6714
Sharon L SmithGeological Survey of Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Ottawa, ON K1A 0G1, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-0059-094X
Jill F JohnstoneYukonU Research Centre, Yukon University, Whitehorse, YT Y1A 5K4, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6131-9339
Merritt R TuretskyRenewable and Sustainable Energy Institute, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO 80309-0027.ORCID 0000-0003-0155-8666
Steven G CummingDepartment of Wood and Forest Sciences, Laval University, Quebec City, QC G1V 0A6, Canada.
James M Le MoineLI-COR Biosciences, Lincoln, NE 68504.
Jennifer L BaltzerDepartment of Biology, Wilfrid Laurier University, Waterloo, ON N2L 3C5, Canada.

Funding

Aurora Research Institute (ARI) 15879British Ecological Society (BES) Small Research 2021 - SR21/1291Canadian Government | Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) permafrost monitoring in the Mackenzie River ValleyCanadian Government | NSERC | RES'EAU-WaterNET Discovery Grant supportEnvironment and Natural Resources, Northwest Territories (ENR, NWT) Environmental Studies Research Fund and Cumulative Impacts Monitoring Program (Project 170)María Zambrano program MZ2021National Science Foundation (NSF) Bonanza Creek LTER DEB-2224776
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate warming can alleviate temperature and nutrient constraints on tree growth in boreal regions, potentially enhancing boreal productivity. However, in permafrost environments, warming also disrupts the physical foundation on which trees grow, leading to leaning trees or "drunken" forests. Tree leaning might reduce radial growth, undermining potential benefits of warming. Here, we found widespread radial growth reductions in southern latitude boreal forests since the 1980s. At mid latitudes, radial growth increased from ~1980 to ~2000 but showed recent signs of decline afterward. Increased growth was evident since the 1980 s at higher latitudes, where radial growth appears to be temperature limited. However, recent changes in permafrost stability, and the associated increased frequency of tree leaning events, emerged as a significant stressor, leading to reduced radial growth in boreal trees at the highest latitudes, where permafrost is extensive. We showed that trees growing in unstable permafrost sites allocated more nonstructural carbohydrate reserves to offset leaning which compromised radial growth and potential carbon uptake benefits of warming. This higher allocation of resources in drunken trees is needed to build the high-density reaction wood, rich in lignin, that is required to maintain a vertical position. With continued climate warming, we anticipate widespread reductions in radial growth in boreal forests, leading to lower carbon sequestration. These findings enhance our understanding of how climate warming and indirect effects, such as ground instability caused by warming permafrost, will affect boreal forest productivity in the future.

Indexed as

PermafrostTreesClimate ChangeForestsGlobal WarmingTaigaTemperatureclimate warmingpermafrostreaction woodstemwood non-structural carbohydratestree leaning

Identifiers

PMID39621910
PMCPMC11648870

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.