Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39621347›Full record

Observational studyJAMA network open2024

Age at First Fracture and Later Fracture Risk in Older Adults Undergoing Osteoporosis Assessment.

Carrie Ye, Suzanne N Morin, Lisa M Lix, Eugene V McCloskey, Helena Johansson, Nicholas C Harvey, John A Kanis, William D Leslie

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in JAMA network open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Beyond postmenopausal osteoporosis: reply to comments by Ömer Faruk Öz.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Carrie YeDepartment of Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.
Suzanne N MorinDepartment of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Lisa M LixDepartment of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.
Eugene V McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Helena JohanssonCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Nicholas C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Centre, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
John A KanisCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
William D LeslieDepartment of Medicine, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada.

Funding

CIHRMedical Research Council MC_PC_21003Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1015Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/2
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Fragility fractures are often defined as those that occur after a certain age (eg, 40-50 years). Whether fractures occurring in early adulthood are equally associated with future fractures is unclear. Objective: To examine whether the age at which a prior fracture occurred is associated with future fracture risk. Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational, population-based cohort study included individuals from the Manitoba Bone Mineral Density Registry with a first bone mineral density (BMD) measurement between January 1, 1996, and March 31, 2018, with and without prior fracture in adulthood. Data analysis was completed between April 1, and May 31, 2023. Exposure: Individuals with fractures before their first dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry were stratified by the age at first fracture (10-year intervals from 20-29 to ≥80 years of age). Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident fractures occurring after dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (index date) and before March 31, 2021, were identified using linked provincial administrative health data. Results: The cohort included 88 696 individuals (80 066 [90.3%] female; mean [SD] age, 64.6 [11.0] years) with a mean (SD) femoral neck T score of -1.4 (1.0). A total of 21 105 individuals (23.8%) had sustained a prior fracture at a mean (SD) age of 57.7 (13.6) years (range, 20.0-102.4 years) at the time of first prior fracture. During a mean (SD) of 9.0 (5.5) years of follow-up, incident fractures occurred in 13 239 individuals (14.6%), including 12 425 osteoporotic fractures (14.0%), 9440 major osteoporotic fractures (MOFs) (10.6%), and 3068 hip fractures (3.5%). The sex- and age-adjusted hazard ratios for all incident fractures, osteoporotic fractures, and MOFs, according to age at first fracture, were all significantly elevated, with point estimates ranging from 1.55 (95% CI, 1.28-1.88) to 4.07 (95% CI, 2.99-5.52). After adjusting for the additional covariates, the effect estimates were similar and remained significantly elevated, with point estimates ranging from fully adjusted hazard ratios of 1.51 (95% CI, 1.42-1.60) to 2.12 (95% CI, 1.67-2.71) across age categories. Sensitivity analyses examining age at last prior fracture and in those with multiple prior fractures showed similar results. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, fractures in adulthood were associated with future fractures regardless of the age at which they occurred. Thus, fractures in early adulthood should not be excluded when assessing an individual's ongoing fracture risk.

Indexed as

Absorptiometry, PhotonBone DensityOsteoporosisOsteoporotic FracturesAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleManitobaMiddle AgedRegistries

Identifiers

PMID39621347
PMCPMC11612869

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.