Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39617905›Full record

ArticleBMC surgery2024

A model for predicting AKI after cardiopulmonary bypass surgery in Chinese patients with normal preoperative renal function.

Xuan Lin, Li Xiao, Weibin Lin, Dahui Wang, Kangqing Xu, Liting Kuang

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC surgery, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Review
4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Xuan Lin *Department of Anesthesiology, the First Afflicted Hospital of Sun Yet-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China.
Li Xiao *Department of Anesthesiology, the First Afflicted Hospital of Sun Yet-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China.
Weibin Lin *Department of Cardiac Surgery, the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China.
Dahui WangDepartment of Anesthesiology, the First Afflicted Hospital of Sun Yet-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China.
Kangqing XuDepartment of Anesthesiology, the First Afflicted Hospital of Sun Yet-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China.
Liting KuangDepartment of Anesthesiology, the First Afflicted Hospital of Sun Yet-Sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510080, China. kuanglt@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo develop and validate a predictive model for acute kidney injury (AKI) after cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) surgery in Chinese patients with normal preoperative renal function.

methodFrom January 1, 2015, to September 1, 2022, a total of 1003 patients were included in the analysis as a development cohort. We used the ratio of 7:3 to divide the patients into a training group (n = 703) and a testing group (n = 300). In addition, a total of 178 patients were collected as an external validation cohort from January 1, 2023, to May 1, 2023. In the training group, independent risk factors for postoperative AKI were identified through the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multifactor logistic regression analysis. A nomogram predictive model was then established. The area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, as well as calibration curve and decision curve, were used for validation of the model.

resultsAge, body mass index (BMI), emergent surgery, CPB time, intraoperative use of adrenaline, and postoperative procalcitonin (PCT) were identified as important risk factors for AKI after CPB surgery (P < 0.05). The nomogram predictive model demonstrated good discrimination (AUC: 0.772 (95%CI: 0.735 - 0.809), 0.780 (95% CI: 0.724 - 0.835), and 0.798 (95% CI: 0.731 - 0.865)), calibration (Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness of fit test: P-value 0.6941, 0.9539, and 0.2358), and clinical utility (the threshold probability values in the decision curves are respectively > 12%, > 10%, and 16% ~ 75%) in the training, testing, and external validation groups.

conclusionThe predictive model, which was established in Chinese patients with normal preoperative renal function, has high accuracy, calibration, and clinical utility. Clinicians can utilize this model to predict and potentially reduce the incidence of AKI after CPB surgery in the Chinese population.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryCardiopulmonary BypassNomogramsPostoperative ComplicationsAgedChinaEast Asian PeopleFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveAcute kidney injuryCardiopulmonary bypassNomogramPredictive modelRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID39617905
PMCPMC11610128

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.