Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39615769›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of preventive medicine2025

Cost-Effectiveness and Public Health Impact of 24-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Compared With the Recommended Pneumococcal Vaccines in Older Adults.

Kenneth J Smith, Angela R Wateska, Mary Patricia Nowalk, Chyongchiou J Lin, Lee H Harrison, William Schaffner, Richard K Zimmerman

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of preventive medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Kenneth J SmithUniversity of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Electronic address: smithkj2@upmc.edu.
Angela R WateskaUniversity of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Mary Patricia NowalkUniversity of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Chyongchiou J LinThe Ohio State University College of Nursing, Columbus, Ohio.
Lee H HarrisonUniversity of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
William SchaffnerVanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee.
Richard K ZimmermanUniversity of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Funding

Analyzing Adult Pneumococcal Vaccination Implementation in the UnderservedR01AI116575 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI SMITH, KENNETH J · 2016 to 2023
$2.8M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI116575
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe potential impact of an in-development 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with that of currently recommended vaccines in older adults is unclear. Similar to most currently available pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine's formulation is based on childhood pneumococcal disease epidemiology. Decision analysis techniques were used to estimate 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine cost-effectiveness and public health effects in U.S. older adults.

methodsA Markov model compared 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine with currently recommended U.S. pneumococcal vaccination strategies in older adults (aged ≥65 years) and with no vaccination. Age-, race-, and chronic medical condition-specific pneumococcal illness risks and serotype-specific disease risks were obtained from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated using Delphi panel and clinical trial data. Vaccination and pneumococcal illness costs were from U.S. DATABASES: Scenario analyses examined indirect effects of childhood pneumococcal vaccination on adult disease. Data were collected and analyses were performed in 2024.

resultsThe 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine prevented fewer pneumococcal disease cases and deaths than the recently recommended 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, which is formulated on the basis of adult pneumococcal disease serotypes. In cost-effectiveness analyses, 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine was economically favorable compared with 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine and all other vaccination strategies, both without and with consideration of potential childhood vaccination indirect effects. These findings were robust and consistent with those in deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsIn older adults, 24-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine was clinically and economically unfavorable compared with 21-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, which covers more adult disease-causing pneumococcal serotypes and is less susceptible to childhood vaccination indirect effects.

Indexed as

Pneumococcal InfectionsPneumococcal VaccinesPublic HealthAgedAged, 80 and overCost-Benefit AnalysisDecision Support TechniquesHumansMaleMarkov ChainsUnited StatesVaccinationVaccine EfficacyVaccines, ConjugatePneumococcal VaccinesVaccines, Conjugate

Identifiers

PMID39615769
PMCPMC12360291

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.