Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39614245›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2024

Global, regional, and national pancreatitis burden and health inequality of pancreatitis from 1990 to 2019 with a prediction from 2020 to 2034.

Yu Wen, Yuan Luo, Yunpeng Huang, Zijian Zhang, Li Xiong, Yongxiang Wang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yu Wen *Department of General Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410011, China.
Yuan Luo *Department of General Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410011, China.
Yunpeng HuangDepartment of General Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410011, China.
Zijian ZhangDepartment of General Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410011, China.
Li XiongDepartment of General Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410011, China.
Yongxiang WangDepartment of General Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan Province, 410011, China. 228202102@csu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 81970569
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPancreatitis is a digestive system disease that imposes a significant burden on society. However, there is a lack of comprehensive research on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of pancreatitis, as well as on health inequalities and future trends.

methodsPancreatitis burden data, including the number and age-standardized rates (ASR) of incidence, prevalence, deaths, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), were collected from the Global Burden of Diseases 2019 (GBD 2019). SDI and HDI were used to analyze the influence of societal development on the burden of pancreatitis in the population. Additionally, the Gini coefficient and the Concentration index were used to assess health inequalities in the burden of pancreatitis. Global population data from 1990 to 2034 was obtained from WHO. Based on the population data and pancreatitis burden data, a prediction model of the burden was constructed to calculate the number and ASR of incidence, prevalence, deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs from 2019 to 2034 using the BAPC package and the Nordpred package.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2019, there has been a decreasing trend in the ASR of incidence, prevalence, deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs in pancreatitis. However, despite this decline, the number of cases has been on the rise. Furthermore, pancreatitis imposes a higher burden on males in comparison to females, and there exists a negative correlation between pancreatitis burden and both the Social Development Index (SDI) and the Human Development Index (HDI). Additionally, health inequalities have progressively worsened globally between 1990 and 2019, particularly concerning the burden of pancreatitis in countries with low Social Development Index (SDI). Looking to the future, it is projected that the number of deaths and new cases will continue to increase from 2020 to 2034.

conclusionsPancreatitis remains a mounting worldwide burden. In order to alleviate this challenge, preventive strategies should focus on males and middle-aged or older individuals, specifically in countries with a low SDI. Pancreatitis is expected to predominantly impact Eastern Europe, characterized by a high ASR of incidence, and Asia, boasting a substantial population.

Indexed as

Global HealthHealth Status DisparitiesPancreatitisAdultCost of IllnessDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceQuality-Adjusted Life YearsDeathDisability-adjusted life-yearsHealth inequalityIncidencePancreatitisPrevalenceThe years of life lostYears lived with disability

Identifiers

PMID39614245
PMCPMC11606095

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.