Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39613458›Full record

ArticleThorax2025

Assessing causal relationships between diabetes mellitus and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a Mendelian randomisation study.

Samuel T Moss, Cosetta Minelli, Olivia C Leavy, Richard J Allen, Nick Oliver, Louise V Wain, Gisli Jenkins, Iain Stewart

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Thorax, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Inter-Organ Communication in Pulmonary Fibrosis: Systemic Modifiers of a Lung-Centered Disease.FASEB journal : official publication of the Federation of American Societies for Experimental Biology · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Samuel T MossNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK stm33@leicester.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-1872-9110
Cosetta MinelliNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9166-3958
Olivia C LeavyDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Richard J AllenDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.
Nick OliverDepartment of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Louise V WainDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4951-1867
Gisli JenkinsNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7929-2119
Iain StewartNational Heart & Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1340-2688

Funding

Medical Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a disease of progressive lung scarring. There is a known association between diabetes mellitus (DM) and IPF, but it is unclear whether a causal relationship exists between these traits.

objectivesThe objectives of this study are to examine causal relationships among DM, diabetes-associated traits and IPF using a Mendelian randomisation approach.

methodsTwo-sample MR approaches, including bidirectional inverse-variance weighted random effects and routine sensitivity models, used genetic variants identified from genome-wide association studies for type 1 diabetes (T1D), type 2 diabetes (T2D), glycated haemoglobin level (HbA1c), fasting insulin level and body mass index (BMI) to assess for causal effects of these traits on IPF. Further analyses using pleiotropy-robust and multivariable MR (MVMR) methods were additionally performed to account for trait complexity.

resultsResults did not suggest that either T1D (OR=1.00, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.07, p=0.90) or T2D (1.02, 0.93 to 1.11, p=0.69) are in the causal pathway of IPF. No effects were suggested of HbA1c (1.19, 0.63 to 2.22, p=0.59) or fasting insulin level (0.60, 0.31 to 1.15, p=0.12) on IPF, but potential effects of BMI on IPF were indicated (1.44, 1.12 to 1.85, p=4.00×10

conclusionsThis study suggests that DM and IPF are unlikely to be causally linked. This comorbid relationship may instead be driven by shared risk factors or treatment effects.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Idiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisBody Mass IndexGenome-Wide Association StudyGlycated HemoglobinHumansInsulinMendelian Randomization AnalysisGlycated HemoglobinInsulinClinical EpidemiologyIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Identifiers

PMID39613458
PMCPMC11877114

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.