Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39611336›Full record

ArticleCancer2025

The incidence of pancreatic cancer in women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation.

Bryson W Katona, Jan Lubinski, Tuya Pal, Tomasz Huzarski, William D Foulkes, Pal Moller, Andrea Eisen, Susan Randall Armel, Susan L Neuhausen, Rebecca Raj and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Comparative outcomes of laparoscopicWorld journal of gastrointestinal endoscopy · 2026
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Challenges of early detection of pancreatic cancer.The Journal of clinical investigation · 2025
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Bryson W KatonaBasser Center for BRCA and Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA.
Jan LubinskiInternational Hereditary Cancer Center, Pomeranian Medical University, Szczecin, Poland.
Tuya PalVanderbilt-Ingram Cancer Center, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Tomasz HuzarskiInternational Hereditary Cancer Center, Pomeranian Medical University, Szczecin, Poland.
William D FoulkesDepartment of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Pal MollerInstitute of Cancer Research, The Norwegian Radium Hospital, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
Andrea EisenSunnybrook Regional Cancer Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Susan Randall ArmelDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Susan L NeuhausenDepartment of Population Sciences, City of Hope, Duarte, California, USA.
Rebecca RajWomen's College Research Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Amber AeiltsComprehensive Cancer Center, The Ohio State University Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8907-7853
Christian F SingerDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology and Comprehensive Cancer Center, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1294-0027
Louise BordeleauDepartment of Oncology, Juravinski Cancer Centre, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Beth KarlanDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Olufunmilayo OlopadeDepartment of Medicine and Human Genetics, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9936-1599
Nadine TungCancer Risk and Prevention Program, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Dana ZakalikCancer Genetics Program, Beaumont Hospital, Royal Oak, Michigan, USA.
Joanne KotsopoulosWomen's College Research Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9624-4218
Robert FruscioDepartment of Medicine and Surgery, University of Milan Bicocca, IRCCS San Gerardo, Monza, Italy.
Charis EngCenter for Personalized Genetic Healthcare, Genomic Medicine Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio, USA.
Ping SunWomen's College Research Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Steven A NarodWomen's College Research Institute, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5798-0626
Hereditary Breast Cancer Clinical Study Group

Funding

CIHR 154275Peter Gilgan Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe lifetime risk of pancreatic cancer in women with a germline mutation in BRCA1 and BRCA2 is not well established. In an international prospective cohort of female carriers of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations, the cumulative incidence of pancreatic cancer from age 40 until 80 years was estimated.

methodsA total of 8295 women with a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation were followed for new cases of pancreatic cancer. Subjects were followed from the date of baseline questionnaire or age 40 years (whichever came last) until a new diagnosis of pancreatic cancer, death from another cause, or date of last follow-up.

resultsThirty-four incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified in the cohort. The annual risk of pancreatic cancer between age 40 and 80 years was 0.04% for BRCA1 carriers and 0.09% for BRCA2 carriers. Via the Kaplan-Meier method, the cumulative incidence from age 40 to 80 years was 2.2% (95% CI, 1.1%-4.3%) for BRCA1 carriers and 2.7% (95% CI, 1.3%-5.4%) for BRCA2 carriers. Only two of the 34 cases reported a first-degree relative with pancreatic cancer (hazard ratio, 4.75; 95% CI, 1.13-19.9; p = .03). Risk factors for pancreatic cancer included alcohol intake and a history of diabetes. The 5-year survival rate for the 34 cases was 8.8%.

conclusionsThe lifetime risk of pancreatic cancer is approximately 2% in women with a BRCA1 mutation and 3% for women with a BRCA2 mutation. The poor survival in hereditary pancreatic cancer underscores the need for novel antitumoral strategies.

Indexed as

Pancreatic NeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleGenes, BRCA1Genes, BRCA2Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseGerm-Line MutationHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedMutationProspective StudiesRisk FactorsBRCA1BRCA2incidencepancreatic cancersurvival

Identifiers

PMID39611336
PMCPMC11694537

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.