Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39607592›Full record

Trial reportGeroScience2025

Associations between MASLD, atrial fibrillation, cardiovascular events, mortality and aspirin use in older adults.

Daniel Clayton-Chubb, Stuart K Roberts, Ammar Majeed, Robyn L Woods, Andrew M Tonkin, Mark R Nelson, Andrew T Chan, Joanne Ryan, Cammie Tran, Alexander Hodge and 7 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in GeroScience, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Daniel Clayton-ChubbDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Alfred Hospital Health, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia. dan.clayton-chubb@monash.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-7479-9669
Stuart K RobertsDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Alfred Hospital Health, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.
Ammar MajeedDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Alfred Hospital Health, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.
Robyn L WoodsSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Andrew M TonkinSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Mark R NelsonSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Andrew T ChanClinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Joanne RyanSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Cammie TranSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Alexander HodgeDepartment of Gastroenterology, Eastern Health, Melbourne, Australia.
John S LubelDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Alfred Hospital Health, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.
Hans G SchneiderSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Amy BrodtmannSchool of Health and Biomedical Science, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia.
Sharyn M FitzgeraldSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Suzanne G OrchardSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
John J McNeilSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
William W KempDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Alfred Hospital Health, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, VIC, 3004, Australia.

Funding

ASPirin in Reducing Events in the ElderlyU01AG029824 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES, MURRAY, ANNE M · 2009 to 2018
$64.6M
Main Administrative CoreU19AG062682 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MURRAY, ANNE M · 2019 to 2023
$42.9M
NIA NIH HHS U01 AG029824NIA NIH HHS U19 AG062682
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impact of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), the preferred nomenclature for NAFLD, on cardiovascular health and mortality among older adults is uncertain. As such, we aimed to identify whether MASLD increases the risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) (a composite of fatal coronary heart disease [excluding heart failure], nonfatal myocardial infarction, or fatal or nonfatal ischemic stroke), Atrial Fibrillation (AF), or all-cause mortality in older adults, and whether aspirin attenuates these risks in individuals with MASLD. This is a non-prespecified post-hoc analysis of the ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) randomized trial. Participants were community dwelling well adults aged ≥ 70 years without a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease or AF. Fatty Liver Index (FLI) was used to identify MASLD at baseline. FLI is a composite of anthropometric and biochemical markers used in epidemiologic studies to rule in and rule out hepatic steatosis. MACE and cause of death were adjudicated by clinical experts; AF was assessed by previously defined algorithm in ASPREE. 9,097 participants were stratified into groups according to FLI. In univariate analysis, prevalent MASLD (FLI ≥ 60 with evidence of metabolic dysfunction; n = 2,998 [33.0%]) was associated with an increased risk of MACE (HR 1.47 [95% CI 1.22-1.78]) and AF (HR 1.50 [95% CI 1.19-1.88] but not all-cause mortality (HR 1.04 [95% CI 0.91-1.19]). After adjusting for cardiovascular disease risk factors, only the association between MASLD and AF remained significant (HR 1.46 [95% CI 1.11-1.93]). Aspirin did not reduce the risk of MACE, death, or AF in the MASLD group. MASLD was associated with an increased hazard of incident AF, but not of MACE or all-cause mortality, in community dwelling older adults. Primary prevention with aspirin does not ameliorate these risks in older adults with MASLD.

Indexed as

AspirinAtrial FibrillationCardiovascular DiseasesNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsAspirinAspirinASPREEDeathElderlyEpidemiologyMyocardial infarctionNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Identifiers

PMID39607592
PMCPMC11872849

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.