ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2024
Global emergence of regional heatwave hotspots outpaces climate model simulations.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Two decades of resurrection studies: What have we learned about contemporary evolution of plant species?American journal of botany · 2026Pooled it
- Limits and mechanisms of honey bee colonial thermoregulation in the heat.The Journal of experimental biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Exploring the diversity of leafhoppers (Hemiptera: Cicadellidae) in the Eastern Canadian Arctic.Journal of insect science (Online) · 2026Article
- Global historical population exposure to heating and cooling degree days.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Drought and heatwave synergy alters organ-level C:N stoichiometry and carbohydrate dynamics in subtropical tree seedlings.Frontiers in plant science · 2026Article
- Perceived Health Risk of Climate Change and Public Support for Sustainable Health Policies in South Korea.Health services insights · 2026Article
- Unprecedented continental drying, shrinking freshwater availability, and increasing land contributions to sea level rise.Science advances · 2025Article
- Frequent land-ocean transboundary migration of tropical heatwaves under climate change.Nature communications · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Multiple recent record-shattering weather events raise questions about the adequacy of climate models to effectively predict and prepare for unprecedented climate impacts on human life, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Here, we show that extreme heat in several regions globally is increasing significantly and faster in magnitude than what state-of-the-art climate models have predicted under present warming even after accounting for their regional summer background warming. Across all global land area, models underestimate positive trends exceeding 0.5 °C per decade in widening of the upper tail of extreme surface temperature distributions by a factor of four compared to reanalysis data and exhibit a lower fraction of significantly increasing trends overall. To a lesser degree, models also underestimate observed strong trends of contraction of the upper tails in some areas, while moderate trends are well reproduced in a global perspective. Our results highlight the need to better understand and model the drivers of extreme heat and to rapidly mitigate greenhouse gas emissions to avoid further harm from unexpected weather events.
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Registered trials
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