Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39584111›Full record

ArticleHeliyon2024

Bayesian state-space modelling of stock markets in G7 countries During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Oluwadare O Ojo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heliyon, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Oluwadare O OjoDepartment of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This work examines the impact of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the stock market of Group of Seven (G7) countries during the first wave of COVID-19 using daily data from March, 1st of 2020 to December, 31st of 2020. Focussing on such period, a Bayesian Structural Time Series Model (BSTSM) was used to capture the effects of first wave of COVID-19 on the stock market performance of these G7 countries by employing a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. We considered an Autoregressive (AR) model with time-varying parameters and a local linear trend model to know if the stock price of these countries during the period of the first wave of COVID-19 is changing over time. There was a stochastic trend in stock prices of G7 countries during the period of the first wave of COVID-19 while the AR process itself was also changing over time. The stock market of the USA followed by Japan performed better than other G7 countries during the first phase of the COVID-19 pandemic while the stock market of France was affected during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Indexed as

BayesianCOVID-19G7 countriesState-space modellingStock markets

Identifiers

PMID39584111
PMCPMC11583701

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.