Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39582854›Full record

ArticleWater resources research2024

Combining a Multi-Lake Model Ensemble and a Multi-Domain CORDEX Climate Data Ensemble for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Lake Sevan.

Muhammed Shikhani, Johannes Feldbauer, Robert Ladwig, Daniel Mercado-Bettín, Tadhg N Moore, Artur Gevorgyan, Amalya Misakyan, Chenxi Mi, Martin Schultze, Bertram Boehrer and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Water resources research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Muhammed ShikhaniDepartment of Lake Research Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) Magdeburg Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3558-4328
Johannes FeldbauerInstitute of Hydrobiology Technische Universität Dresden Dresden Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8238-5375
Robert LadwigDepartment of Ecoscience Aarhus University Aarhus Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8443-1999
Daniel Mercado-BettínCentre d'Estudis Avançats de Blanes (CEAB-CSIC) Blanes Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4572-3029
Tadhg N MooreLimnotrack Cambridge New Zealand.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3834-8868
Artur GevorgyanHydrometeorology and Monitoring Center SNCO of the Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Armenia Yerevan Armenia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1220-3617
Amalya MisakyanHydrometeorology and Monitoring Center SNCO of the Ministry of Environment of the Republic of Armenia Yerevan Armenia.
Chenxi MiDepartment of Biological Sciences University of Lethbridge Lethbridge AB Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2323-1832
Martin SchultzeDepartment of Lake Research Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) Magdeburg Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3526-2919
Bertram BoehrerDepartment of Lake Research Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) Magdeburg Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6253-6634
Tom ShatwellDepartment of Lake Research Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) Magdeburg Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4520-7916
Klemens BarfusInstitute of Hydrology and Meteorology, Technische Universität Dresden Dresden Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0361-8100
Karsten RinkeDepartment of Lake Research Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ) Magdeburg Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0864-6722

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global warming is shifting the thermal dynamics of lakes, with resulting climatic variability heavily affecting their mixing dynamics. We present a dual ensemble workflow coupling climate models with lake models. We used a large set of simulations across multiple domains, multi-scenario, and multi GCM- RCM combinations from CORDEX data. We forced a set of multiple hydrodynamic lake models by these multiple climate simulations to explore climate change impacts on lakes. We also quantified the contributions from the different models to the overall uncertainty. We employed this workflow to investigate the effects of climate change on Lake Sevan (Armenia). We predicted for the end of the 21st century, under RCP 8.5, a sharp increase in surface temperature

Indexed as

climate change impactsCORDEXLakeEnsemblRlake modelingmulti model ensemble (MME)variance decomposition

Identifiers

PMID39582854
PMCPMC11583130

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.